Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2017

Lost to Indians 4-5, playoff odds down 0.08 to 99.8%
71-53   .573

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +1.3
+0.1
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.1
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.0
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +1.0
+0.1
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.2
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.1
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-109In1002,238,149*
10736-2In10008,838
10635-3In100078,289
10534-4In1000507,889
10433-5In991002,563,079
10332-6In9640010,420,987
10231-7In9190035,134,201
10130-8In821800100,144,071
10029-9In693100244,889,165
9928-10In544510519,679,168
9827-11In3859300965,245,764
9726-12In24697001,580,815,643
9625-13In137115102,295,290,844
9524-14In66626202,967,889,911
9423-15In25439503,429,740,459
9322-16100.0%1395011003,552,015,948
9221-17100.00245719003,303,399,616
9120-18100.00135730002,762,960,443
9019-19100.00651431002,080,007,288
8918-20100.00240562001,409,983,584
8817-2199.80128647000860,294,364
8716-2298.9001865161000472,220,885
8615-2395.401057294000232,883,622
8514-2485.2054040132000102,982,105
8413-2564.4022141277100040,759,109
8312-2636.208283721510014,374,273
8211-2713.0021130331851004,510,283
8110-282.5002122932185101,247,610
809-290.2000212283319500303,846
798-300.0002112935193064,433
787-31Out0313323715011,769
776-32Out004174433101,828
765-33Out7344810215
754-34Out514681437
743-35Out80205
732-36Out1001
710-38Out019532802,237,419
Total:99.8%73736181000000000026,994,905,140

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs