Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2017

												100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed						Serie A2
	P	G	W	-	L	-	E	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Palmeiras	25		8	-	3	-	1	15	In			100				1.0		No			1	.779	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Corinthians	24		7	-	2	-	3	5	In			100				1.0		No			3	.631	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Santos	22		7	-	4	-	1	10	In			100				1.0	+0.14	No			5	.666	Santos Futebol Clube
Sao Paulo	20		5	-	2	-	5	5	In			100				1.0	+0.47	No			2	.565	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta	22		6	-	2	-	4	2	In				100			2.0	-0.14	No			4	.533	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Botafogo	17		4	-	3	-	5	3	In		+5.7		100			2.0	+0.06	No			6	.577	Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Linense	17		5	-	5	-	2	-9	In				100			2.0	-0.47	No			7	.359	Clube Atletico Linense
Novorizontino	15		4	-	5	-	3	-4	In				100			2.0		No			8	.430	Gremio Esportivo Novorizontino
Mirassol	15		4	-	5	-	3	0	Out					100		3.0		No			10	.496	Mirassol Futebol Clube
Ituano	14		3	-	4	-	5	-1	Out		-5.7			100		3.0	+0.03	No		-0.2	13	.468	Ituano Futebol Clube
Santo Andre	14		3	-	4	-	5	-3	Out					100		3.0	+0.25	No		-31.2	9	.439	Esporte Clube Santo Andre
Red Bull	13		3	-	5	-	4	-2	Out					100		3.0	+0.31	No		-1.1	14	.454	Red Bull Futebol e Entretenimento Ltda
Ferroviaria	13		3	-	5	-	4	-5	Out						100	4.0	-0.31	No		-2.4	12	.371	Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes
Sao Bento	13		4	-	7	-	1	-4	Out						100	4.0	-0.25	No		-48.0	11	.371	Esporte Clube Sao Bento
Sao Bernardo	10		3	-	8	-	1	-7	Out						100	4.0	-0.09	Yes		+43.0	15	.336	Sao Bernardo Futebol Clube
Audax	9		2	-	7	-	3	-5	Out						100	4.0		Yes		+39.9	16	.411	Gremio Osasco Audax

Week of 3/10
Sao Bernardo 1 Santos 4
6:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	+15.0				+0.3
Botafogo	+9.4
Sao Bernardo	-11.3		+1.6		-0.2

Sao Bento 0 Linense 1
7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	+10.0		-1.3
Sao Bento	-14.6		+12.3		-0.3

Novorizontino 2 Ferroviaria 0
9:05 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	+15.2		-14.2		+0.3
Ferroviaria	-3.7		+17.1		-0.2

Santo Andre 1 Botafogo 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	-7.7
Santo Andre	-2.6		+1.3
Sao Bernardo	+6.2

Audax 1 Red Bull 2
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull	+6.1		-19.4		+0.2

Mirassol 1 Ituano 1
4:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mirassol	-8.6				-0.2

Ponte Preta 1 Corinthians 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta			No

Week of 3/17
Mirassol 2 Santo Andre 3
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mirassol	-21.8				-0.4
Santo Andre	+14.0		-27.2		+0.4

Ponte Preta 1 Novorizontino 2
6:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta	-17.5				-0.4
Novorizontino	+16.4		-3.3		+0.2

Ituano 5 Linense 1
9:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Linense	-16.0				-0.3
Ituano	+15.7		-15.8		+0.4
Red Bull	+12.3				+0.2

Sao Bento 0 Santos 2
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	+16.2		No		+0.3
Ponte Preta	-9.2				-0.2
Novorizontino	+9.4
Sao Bento	-10.4		+10.2		-0.3
Audax	Out		-2.6

Red Bull 2 Sao Bernardo 1
4:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bernardo	-9.2		+4.3		-0.2

Audax 0 Sao Bento 1
6:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bento	+14.1		-28.2		+0.4
Audax			+21.3

Santo Andre 3 Ponte Preta 3
5:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta	-6.4		*No		-0.2
Santo Andre	-2.8		-0.4

Palmeiras 2 Mirassol 0
8:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mirassol	-9.1				-0.2

Santos 1 Palmeiras 2
6:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	In
Santos	-8.3				-0.2

Linense 0 Botafogo 0
4:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	-5.9

Sao Bernardo 0 Ferroviaria 0
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ferroviaria	-1.7		+5.3
Sao Bernardo	-3.6		+2.3

Corinthians 1 Red Bull 1
7:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Linense	+3.2		No
Novorizontino			No
Mirassol			No
Red Bull	-4.6		-1.8

Botafogo 1 Sao Paulo 1
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	-3.7
Ituano	+3.6

Novorizontino 2 Audax 2
7:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	-4.0		-0.2
Audax	-0.2		+4.5

Sao Paulo 1 Ituano 1
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	In
Sao Paulo	-1.9		*No
Ituano	-0.6		-2.0

Ferroviaria 1 Corinthians 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ferroviaria	+1.4		-27.1

Week of 3/25
Ferroviaria 3 Ituano 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+25.3				+0.3
Ituano	-29.6		+1.2		-0.5
Ferroviaria	+3.8		-51.8		+0.2
Sao Bento			+16.4

Red Bull 0 Botafogo 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	In
Botafogo	+18.5		No		+0.2
Linense	In
Ituano	-17.5				-0.2
Red Bull	Out		+1.5		-0.3
Sao Bernardo	Out

Sao Bento 1 Ponte Preta 2
6:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta	In				+0.3
Novorizontino	In
Mirassol	Out				-0.3
Sao Bento	Out		+22.9		-0.3
Sao Bernardo			-10.9

Linense 1 Sao Bernardo 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Linense	+24.3				+0.4
Red Bull	-20.6				-0.2
Ferroviaria	Out		-3.9
Sao Bernardo	-3.8		+19.9		-0.2

Santo Andre 0 Santos 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	+8.3				+0.3
Santo Andre	Out		+13.7		-0.2

Novorizontino 0 Mirassol 0
6:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta	+10.7
Novorizontino	+0.7
Mirassol	-13.5				-0.2
Santo Andre	-0.4
Sao Bento	-0.3

Botafogo 0 Ferroviaria 0
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	In
Ituano	Out
Ferroviaria			-1.4

Ituano 0 Red Bull 0
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	In
Ituano	Out		No
Red Bull			-0.7

Sao Paulo 1 Corinthians 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	+0.4

Mirassol 0 Sao Bento 1
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ituano			+0.7
Santo Andre			+15.5		-0.4
Red Bull			+3.7
Ferroviaria			+7.9
Sao Bento			No		+0.4
Sao Bernardo			+17.9

Audax 1 Santo Andre 2
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ituano			+0.4
Santo Andre			No		+0.2
Red Bull			+0.6
Ferroviaria			+1.1
Audax			Yes

Sao Bernardo 0 Sao Paulo 1
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo					+0.3
Linense					-0.3
Ituano			No
Santo Andre			-11.9
Red Bull			No
Ferroviaria			No
Sao Bento			-16.3
Sao Bernardo			+32.7

Palmeiras 2 Audax 2
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Audax			-1.9

Corinthians 3 Linense 1
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo					+0.2
Linense					-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2017

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