How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/21100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Udinese 1 SPAL 1 No
-0.9
+0.0
Lazio 5 Chievo 1 -0.2
+0.0
Hellas Verona 0 Crotone 3 +1.1
Cagliari 1 Milan 2 -0.5
+0.0
Sassuolo 1 Torino 1 +0.2
Juventus 1 Genoa 0 -0.2
+0.0
Bologna 3 Benevento 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/28100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SPAL vs Internazionale+0.0NoNo
-14.2-2.4+4.2
+0.7+0.1-0.2
Crotone vs Cagliari+3.4-0.5-2.1
Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona-1.0+0.2+3.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sassuolo vs Atalanta+1.6+0.3-0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Genoa vs Udinese+0.8+0.1-0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Chievo vs Juventus+0.8+0.2-0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Torino vs Benevento-0.1*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SPAL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
6717-0-0No0.2%08434710No194,546
6416-0-1NoNo100No1
6315-2-0NoNo17175017No6
6215-1-1NoNo67618No17
6114-3-0NoNo2582812No50*
6014-2-1NoNo1405010No187
5914-1-2NoNo13546152No474*
5813-3-1NoNo023482350No1,479*
5713-2-2NoNo01342311120No3,792*
5612-4-1NoNo07313919400No8,923*
5512-3-2NoNo32038289100No21,908*
5412-2-3NoNo0111313517400No49,641*
5311-4-2NoNo05213628910No107,716*
5211-3-3NoNo0211303518400No223,382*
5110-5-2NoNo0052036291010No439,777*
5010-4-3NoNo00211303619300No838,990*
4910-3-4NoNo0004203830800No1,533,101*
489-5-3NoNo00111323916100No2,687,278*
479-4-4NoNo004224227300No4,542,961*
468-6-3NoNo0011238398100No7,379,226*
458-5-4NoNo000629471620000.0%11,542,257*
448-4-5NoNo0002184827500No17,416,187*
437-6-4NoNo00194136111000.025,271,078*
427-5-5NoNo00043142203000.035,329,801*
417-4-6NoNo00119413081000.047,634,690*
406-6-5NoNo000103437162000.161,780,807*
396-5-6NoNo0042340266000.377,171,285*
386-4-7NoNo00213353613101.092,831,951*
375-6-6NoNo0062641233003.0107,294,699*
365-5-7NoNo0021640357007.4119,282,226*
355-4-8NoNo00183244141015.2127,395,201*
344-6-7NoNo0032148252027.0130,456,489*
334-5-8NoNo0011246375041.7128,053,793*
324-4-9NoNo0005374710057.3120,283,674*
313-6-8NoNo002265418071.5107,871,725*
303-5-9NoNo001175528082.792,263,734*
293-4-10NoNo0095139190.675,024,585*
282-6-9NoNo0054350295.457,819,949*
272-5-10NoNo023360598.042,098,161*
262-4-11NoNo012367999.328,828,118*
251-6-10NoNo0015711499.818,451,160*
241-5-11NoNo09702299.910,965,092*
231-4-12NoNo046431100.05,999,094*
221-3-13NoNo025642100.02,980,357*
210-5-12NoNo014653100.01,318,031*
200-4-13NoNo03565Yes509,954*
190-3-14NoNo02575Yes163,489*
180-2-15NoNo01684Yes39,658
170-1-16NoNo991Yes6,161
160-0-17NoNo397Yes194,979
Total:No0.0%0000000001471116232313136.9%1,564,311,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship