Campeonato Carioca Fase 1 Playoff Chances 2016

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed										Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Botafogo	22		7	-	1	-	0	9	In			100								1.0	+0.30	No			2	.833	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Vasco da Gama	20		6	-	2	-	0	12	In			100								1.0		No			1	.787	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Flamengo	19		6	-	1	-	1	15	In				100							2.0	-0.30	No			3	.855	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Boavista	15		4	-	3	-	1	6	In				100							2.0		No			4	.680	Boavista Sport Club
Fluminense	13		4	-	1	-	3	5	In		+7.5			100						3.0	+0.64	No			7	.612	Fluminense Football Club
Volta Redonda	13		3	-	4	-	1	3	In		+55.7			100						3.0	+1.58	No			5	.578	Volta Redonda Futebol Clube
Bangu	13		4	-	1	-	3	3	In						100					4.0	-0.56	No			6	.578	Bangu Atletico Clube
America	11		3	-	2	-	3	0	In		+24.3				100					4.0	-0.18	No			8	.496	America Football Club
Madureira	11		3	-	2	-	3	-1	Out		-68.1					100				5.0	-0.96	No			9	.469	Madureira Esporte Clube
Cabofriense	7		2	-	1	-	5	-3	Out		-4.0					100				5.0	+0.73	No			12	.407	Associacao Desportiva Cabofriense
Friburguense	11		3	-	2	-	3	-3	Out		-11.9						100			6.0	-0.44	No			10	.415	Friburguense Atletico Clube
Portuguesa	7		2	-	1	-	5	-6	Out		-3.4						100			6.0	-0.14	No			13	.363	Associacao Atletica Portuguesa
Resende	7		1	-	4	-	3	-6	Out									100		7.0	+0.02	No			11	.270	Resende Futebol Clube
Tigres do Brasil	4		1	-	1	-	6	-11	Out									100		7.0	+0.15	Yes		+11.6	14	.216	Esporte Clube Tigres do Brasil
Macae	4		1	-	1	-	6	-7	Out										100	8.0	-0.70	No		-11.6	15	.251	Macae Esporte Futebol Clube
Bonsucesso	1		0	-	1	-	7	-16	Out										100	8.0	-0.15	Yes			16	.172	Bonsucesso Futebol Clube

Week of 2/20
Madureira 2 Portuguesa 1
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
America	-6.2				-0.2
Madureira	+19.0		-3.0		+0.6
Portuguesa	-9.5		+3.1		-0.5

Madureira 1 Macae 0
4:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	-6.7				-0.2
America	-6.3				-0.2
Madureira	+20.0		No		+0.6
Friburguense	-6.6				-0.2
Macae	-6.8		+4.9		-0.5

Fluminense 1 Flamengo 2
7:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	+4.1		No		+0.4
Fluminense	-11.3				-0.4

Resende 1 Friburguense 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
America	+1.7
Madureira	+1.6
Friburguense	-5.8		-0.3		-0.2
Resende	-7.9				-0.3

Botafogo 2 Fluminense 0
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	-11.5				-0.4

Tigres do Brasil 1 Resende 1
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Resende	-10.5		-1.8		-0.6
Tigres do Brasil	-0.1		+0.9

Portuguesa 3 Bonsucesso 1
4:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Portuguesa	+10.6		-6.3		+0.6
Bonsucesso			+9.0		-0.2

Bangu 1 Volta Redonda 1
4:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	-4.5
Bangu	-3.5				-0.3
America	+1.4
Madureira	+1.5
Friburguense	+1.5

Vasco da Gama 2 Friburguense 2
7:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	-1.6
America	-2.7
Madureira	-1.9
Friburguense	+6.2				+0.2
Tigres do Brasil	Out

Macae 2 Bonsucesso 2
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Macae	-5.4		+2.4		-0.4
Bonsucesso			+2.9

Cabofriense 0 Flamengo 1
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Cabofriense	-4.2		+2.9		-0.3

Botafogo 2 Cabofriense 1
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Cabofriense	-3.7		+1.9		-0.3

Boavista 1 Volta Redonda 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	-0.9
America	+0.4

America 1 Boavista 1
9:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	+0.5
America	+0.6
Friburguense	-0.8
Tigres do Brasil	Out

Tigres do Brasil 0 Vasco da Gama 2
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bangu			*No
Tigres do Brasil			+5.3

Week of 2/27
Portuguesa 0 America 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	+10.8				+0.2
Volta Redonda	-10.4				-0.2
Bangu	In
America	+30.6				+0.8
Madureira	-11.6				-0.3
Friburguense	-8.6				-0.2
Portuguesa	-18.3				-0.7

Friburguense 1 Fluminense 2
5:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	+20.4				+0.5
Volta Redonda	+3.7
America	+6.7				+0.2
Madureira	+5.9				+0.2
Cabofriense	-8.6
Friburguense	-16.3				-0.4
Portuguesa	-8.7
Resende	Out
Macae	Out

Volta Redonda 3 Macae 1
5:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	+16.1				+0.4
America	-7.0
Madureira	-5.2
Tigres do Brasil			-6.2
Macae	-4.8		+6.3		-0.5
Bonsucesso			-0.1

Bangu 1 Madureira 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bangu	+7.9				+0.4
Madureira	-11.3				-0.3

Cabofriense 2 Tigres do Brasil 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Cabofriense	+4.2		-10.8		+0.6
Tigres do Brasil			+15.8		-0.2

Flamengo 5 Resende 0
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	In
Fluminense	+2.2
Resende	-3.9				-0.3

Bonsucesso 1 Boavista 2
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Boavista	In				+0.2
Fluminense			No
Volta Redonda			No
Cabofriense			No
Portuguesa			No
Resende			No

Week of 3/5
Volta Redonda 2 Cabofriense 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	+3.5
Volta Redonda	+39.2				+0.7
America	-18.5				-0.3
Madureira	-12.8				-0.2
Cabofriense	Out				-0.5
Friburguense	-7.9				-0.2

Fluminense 1 America 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	In				+0.6
Volta Redonda	+8.0				+0.2
Bangu					-0.6
America	-17.4				-0.5
Cabofriense	Out
Portuguesa	Out

Friburguense 2 Portuguesa 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Friburguense	+18.0				+0.7
Portuguesa	Out				-0.8

Resende 0 Madureira 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	+4.5				+0.2
America	+9.7				+0.2
Madureira	-14.9				-0.4
Friburguense	+0.8
Resende					-0.5

Macae 0 Tigres do Brasil 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tigres do Brasil			-29.5
Macae			+29.5		-0.7

Bonsucesso 1 Vasco da Gama 3
6:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bonsucesso			Yes

Flamengo 3 Bangu 1
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bangu					-0.3

Boavista 0 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo					+0.3
Flamengo					-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Carioca Fase 1 Playoff Chances 2016

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