Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Dallas12-2-0.857108In9461.2+0.341Dallas Cowboys
New England12-2-0.857132In+0.772281.3+0.306New England Patriots
Oakland11-3-0.78641In+2.928392312.7+1.332Oakland Raiders
Seattle9-4-1.67963In5425212.7+0.128Seattle Seahawks
NY Giants10-4-0.7142298.7%+13.86848104.9+0.304New York Giants
Kansas City10-4-0.7144597.7-0.42834027204.4-1.303Kansas City Chiefs
Atlanta9-5-0.64311188.6+12.42129182181014.0+0.8211Atlanta Falcons
Detroit9-5-0.6431677.7-12.72125160151574.4-1.1114Detroit Lions
Pittsburgh9-5-0.6436573.1+6.855532822504.4+0.445Pittsburgh Steelers
Miami9-5-0.643169.4+14.42743889516.5-0.2117Miami Dolphins
Houston8-6-0.571-4463.1+2.365613915815.8+0.399Houston Texans
Green Bay8-6-0.5712447.0+23.52122310181318406.2+1.4912Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay8-6-0.571-945.1-24.32821113192011406.4-1.0413Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baltimore8-6-0.5714344.5+6.63167251510416.0+0.6316Baltimore Ravens
Washington17-5-1.5771340.3+1.7634212494107.1+0.047Washington Redskins
Tennessee8-6-0.5711735.4+1.13311820181447.1+0.5015Tennessee Titans
Denver8-6-0.5714112.8-29.8132626201148.0-1.2010Denver Broncos
Indianapolis7-7-0.500233.5-2.93039173726509.7+0.3919Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota7-7-0.50052.4-12.921119332010419.1-0.7918Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo7-7-0.500440.6-0.11281118509210.4+0.5722Buffalo Bills
New Orleans6-8-0.429140.2-0.7031118312212310.1+1.1021New Orleans Saints
Carolina15-8-0.385-260.0-0.50146142730144111.3+0.2126Carolina Panthers
Arizona5-8-1.39315Out-0.30518262517811.5-0.7527Arizona Cardinals
Cincinnati5-8-1.393-5Out-1.6295628512.3-1.0524Cincinnati Bengals
Philadelphia5-9-0.35717Out-0.01411184121312.7-0.6423Philadelphia Eagles
San Diego5-9-0.3570Out1428481912.8-0.8420San Diego Chargers
NY Jets4-10-0.286-116Out22270613.8+0.1028New York Jets
Los Angeles4-10-0.286-131Out12920402813.8+0.3925Los Angeles Rams
Chicago3-11-0.214-72Out15276814.6-0.4230Chicago Bears
Jacksonville2-12-0.143-99Out688615.0-0.0129Jacksonville Jaguars
Cleveland0-14-0.000-188Out69415.9-0.0531Cleveland Browns
San Francisco1-13-0.071-170Out10016.0-0.0832San Francisco 49ers

We use the real NFL tiebreakers, except for net touchdowns (the last).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/15
Denver 3 New England 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New EnglandIn
+0.4
Miami+12.6
Denver-19.5
-0.7
Buffalo+0.7
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland+0.5
Kansas City-2.0
-0.7
Miami+4.3
Houston-11.1
-0.6
Tennessee+14.3
+1.2
Denver-3.3
NY Jets 13 Miami 34
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England-0.3
Pittsburgh-2.8
Miami+18.3
+0.8
Denver-9.3
-0.2
San DiegoOut
+0.2
NY Jets-0.5
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas+0.4
Atlanta+3.6
+0.2
Green Bay+3.4
Tampa Bay-18.2
-0.9
Washington+4.1
Minnesota+2.4
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington+3.7
+0.2
Tennessee-3.5
-0.3
Indianapolis+5.6
+0.9
Minnesota-11.3
-0.8
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+12.5
+0.7
Detroit-9.1
-0.8
Green Bay+3.7
+0.2
Tampa Bay-2.5
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh-9.9
-0.5
Baltimore+15.3
+1.1
CincinnatiOut
PhiladelphiaOut
-0.8
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit-3.1
-0.2
Green Bay+14.0
+1.0
Tampa Bay-3.8
Washington-3.1
Chicago-0.4
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston+14.0
+1.1
Tennessee-9.3
-0.4
Indianapolis-3.9
-0.2
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+13.9
+0.8
Baltimore-9.8
-0.4
CincinnatiOut
-0.8
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+13.6
+0.8
Washington-4.0
Minnesota-2.5
PhiladelphiaOut
San Diego 16 Oakland 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OaklandIn
+0.7
Kansas City-0.5
San Diego-0.7
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SeattleIn
+0.5
Arizona-3.1
Los Angeles-0.7
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans+0.9
+1.0
ArizonaOut
-1.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo+0.7
+0.8
Washington vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta83.793.593.6
4.13.93.9
Detroit73.781.981.7
4.44.34.3
Green Bay42.447.951.6
6.36.26.1
Tampa Bay40.249.949.9
6.56.16.3
Washington61.328.919.3
6.57.27.8
New OrleansOut0.40.4
10.010.110.1
CarolinaOutOut0.0
12.011.310.6
Week of 12/22
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas CityInIn95.3
4.44.34.4
PittsburghIn79.746.2
2.94.15.9
Baltimore9.429.779.7
7.97.04.1
Denver16.116.19.4
7.97.88.2
Buffalo1.21.2Out
10.310.310.4
New Orleans vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta93.093.084.2
3.53.54.5
Detroit84.479.771.0
4.24.34.5
Green Bay50.945.343.1
6.16.36.3
Tampa Bay18.844.371.4
7.66.55.1
Washington47.633.033.0
7.07.37.3
Minnesota4.94.7Out
9.28.78.9
New Orleans0.4OutOut
9.310.410.9
Carolina0.0OutOut
Buffalo vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh79.870.366.4
4.34.54.5
Miami44.982.893.8
7.36.15.6
Baltimore51.537.537.5
6.06.26.0
Denver20.111.05.5
7.98.18.1
Buffalo1.2OutOut
9.710.011.1
Chicago vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta93.593.583.7
3.93.94.1
Detroit81.881.973.6
4.34.34.4
Green Bay51.947.442.2
6.16.36.3
Tampa Bay49.750.240.5
6.26.26.5
Washington19.328.961.3
7.87.26.5
New Orleans0.40.4Out
Carolina*0.00.2Out
11.311.211.3
Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit74.980.580.5
4.74.04.0
Green Bay65.136.028.9
5.16.67.3
Tampa Bay38.848.851.4
6.56.36.3
Washington35.347.645.3
7.26.97.1
MinnesotaOut0.84.9
9.98.88.2
New OrleansOutOut0.4
9.910.310.2
CarolinaOutOut0.0
11.311.411.4
Dallas vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit61.092.894.4
5.23.73.5
Green Bay57.436.336.6
5.86.76.6
Washington44.136.536.5
Jacksonville vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston75.051.251.2
5.36.26.2
Tennessee19.750.051.2
8.16.46.0
Indianapolis6.60.30.4
9.510.010.0
Carolina vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta78.197.199.1
4.83.73.2
Tampa Bay55.734.734.5
5.96.86.8
Carolina0.0OutOut
10.611.312.0
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland3.22.12.1
Kansas CityInIn95.3
3.64.75.2
Pittsburgh71.368.175.0
4.44.54.4
Miami76.276.262.5
Denver2.110.923.4
8.77.87.3
Houston vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston76.250.050.0
4.86.46.7
Tennessee26.344.644.6
7.56.76.7
Indianapolis0.36.66.6
9.89.69.6
Oakland vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland1.92.33.4
Kansas City5.05.03.8
Tennessee38.838.832.1
6.76.87.4
IndianapolisOutOut6.9
10.610.18.9
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants97.3InIn
5.25.14.5
Philadelphia12.112.613.4
Cleveland vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego13.212.612.4
Los Angeles vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles13.313.714.4
Seattle vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle2.32.93.1
Arizona12.311.710.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Davy Jones for adding this league.