| Week of 12/15 |
| Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | +3.6 | | +0.2 | |
| Tampa Bay | -18.2 | | -0.9 | |
| New Orleans | +0.8 | | +0.1 | |
| Carolina | +0.4 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | +13.6 | | +0.8 | |
| Tampa Bay | -1.2 | | -0.2 | |
| New Orleans | -0.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Carolina | -0.4 | | -0.0 | |
|
| Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | -1.2 | | | |
| Tampa Bay | -3.8 | | -0.1 | |
| New Orleans | -0.1 | | | |
| Carolina | -0.1 | | | |
|
| NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | -1.4 | | +0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay | -2.5 | | -0.0 | |
|
| Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | +1.4 | | +0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay | +1.7 | | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans | +0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Carolina | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | -0.4 | | -0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay | | | -0.0 | |
| New Orleans | +0.9 | | +1.0 | |
| Carolina | -0.4 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | | | -0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay | +0.1 | | -0.1 | |
| New Orleans | | | +0.1 | |
| Carolina | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | | | +0.0 | |
| New Orleans | | | +0.2 | |
| Carolina | | | +0.1 | |
|
| San Diego 16 Oakland 19 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Washington vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeTieAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 83.793.593.6 | | 4.13.93.9 | |
| Tampa Bay | 40.249.949.9 | | 6.56.16.3 | |
| New Orleans | Out0.40.4 | | 10.010.110.1 | |
| Carolina | OutOut0.0 | | 12.011.310.6 | |
|
| Week of 12/22 |
| New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 93.093.084.2 | | 3.53.54.5 | |
| Tampa Bay | 18.844.371.4 | | 7.66.55.1 | |
| New Orleans | 0.4OutOut | | 9.310.410.9 | |
| Carolina | 0.0OutOut | | | |
|
| Carolina vs AtlantaHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 78.197.199.1 | | 4.83.73.2 | |
| Tampa Bay | 55.734.734.5 | | 5.96.86.8 | |
| New Orleans | | | 10.210.29.9 | |
| Carolina | 0.0OutOut | | 10.611.312.0 | |
|
| Chicago vs WashingtonHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 93.593.583.7 | | 3.93.94.1 | |
| Tampa Bay | 49.750.240.5 | | 6.26.26.5 | |
| New Orleans | 0.40.4Out | | | |
| Carolina | *0.00.2Out | | 11.311.211.3 | |
|
| Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 87.487.589.9 | | | |
| Tampa Bay | 38.848.851.4 | | 6.56.36.3 | |
| New Orleans | OutOut0.4 | | 9.910.310.2 | |
| Carolina | OutOut0.0 | | 11.311.411.4 | |
|
| Dallas vs DetroitHomeTieAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 89.987.587.4 | | 3.94.04.1 | |
| Tampa Bay | 47.044.643.2 | | 6.26.46.5 | |
|
| Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway | |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 89.487.887.9 | | | |
| Tampa Bay | 45.644.644.6 | | | |
| New Orleans | | | 10.110.110.0 | |
| Carolina | | | 11.411.411.2 | |
|
| Los Angeles vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | 44.945.245.2 | | | |
|
| Jacksonville vs TennesseeHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | 44.945.245.2 | | | |
|
| Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway | |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | 45.245.244.9 | | | |
|
| Cleveland vs San DiegoHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | 44.945.245.2 | | | |
|
| Houston vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay | 44.945.245.2 | | | |
|
| Oakland vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | 88.7*88.688.6 | | | |
|
| Seattle vs ArizonaHomeTieAway | |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta | | | 4.24.03.8 | |
| New Orleans | | | 9.910.010.3 | |
| Carolina | | | 11.111.311.5 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.