"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Arizona 48-41, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.03%
6-8-0   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 +0.2
+1.0
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 -0.1
-0.0
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 +0.0
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs CarolinaOut+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Washington+0.0+0.0Out
Green Bay vs MinnesotaOutOut+0.0
+0.1-0.2-0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.0OutOut
+0.5-0.3-0.8
Carolina vs Atlanta-0.1-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Arizona+0.2+0.1-0.3
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
82-0-00.2%0537517029,563,100,457
7.51-0-1Out12175358,443,775
71-1-0Out136323186,978,724,083
0-0-2Out116026325,714
6.50-1-1Out414315269,549,173
60-2-0Out75235643,412,835,870
Total:0.0%017163826102160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 -1.8
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.2
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.0
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.0
Denver 3 New England 16 -0.0
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-1.2+0.3+1.8
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.2-0.2-0.3
Seattle vs Arizona-0.2-0.2+0.3
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.2+0.2
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.1+0.2+0.2
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.2-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.1+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Detroit+0.0-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
82-0-00021025322281
7.51-0-1006305670
71-1-00213363314300
0-0-20213363314300
6.50-1-11638321220
60-2-0041837338
Total:000256582019121192