Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 0.0002%
5-8-0 .385
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 | -0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 | -0.1 | |||
| Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 | +0.1 | |||
| Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 | +0.1 | |||
| Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Washington vs Carolina | OutOut+0.0 | -0.7+0.0+0.7 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chicago vs Washington | *-0.0+0.2Out | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +0.0OutOut | |||
| Carolina vs Atlanta | +0.0OutOut | +0.7+0.1-0.7 | ||
| Green Bay vs Minnesota | OutOut+0.0 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Seattle vs Arizona | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 0 | 9 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 6,602,793,331 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 26 | 55 | 16 | 15,837,570 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 29 | 55 | 14 | 19,796,187,485 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 29 | 55 | 15 | 12,732 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 14 | 52 | 30 | 5 | 31,678,785 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 18 | 62 | 20 | 19,796,327,557 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 17 | 63 | 20 | 12,763 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 28 | 59 | 9 | 15,846,768 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 14 | 52 | 30 | 5 | 6,603,072,832 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 52,861,769,824 | |||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 | -0.2 | |
| Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 | +0.2 | |
| San Diego 16 Oakland 19 | -0.2 | |
| Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 | +0.1 | |
| Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 | +0.1 | |
| Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 | -0.1 | |
| Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 | -0.1 | |
| NY Jets 13 Miami 34 | -0.1 | |
| Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 | +0.0 | |
| NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Washington vs Carolina | +1.4-0.1-1.4 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Carolina vs Atlanta | -1.4-0.1+1.4 | |
| Seattle vs Arizona | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | |
| Oakland vs Indianapolis | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | |
| Cleveland vs San Diego | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Cincinnati | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | |
| Buffalo vs Miami | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Chicago vs Washington | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 17 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 32 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 33 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 43 | 16 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 43 | 41 | 14 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||