Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.09 to 0.00005%
5-8-0   .385

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 -0.1
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 -0.1
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 +0.0
+0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs CarolinaOutOut+0.0
-0.5+0.2+0.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Washington+0.0+0.1Out
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.0OutOut
+0.8+0.2-0.4
Green Bay vs MinnesotaOutOut+0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.0OutOut
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-0.1-0.1+0.2
Seattle vs Arizona+0.1-0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
83-0-00.0%093634217,923,773,832
7.52-0-1Out221641325,925,944
72-1-0Out128561541,057,582,328
1-0-2Out128561528,622
6.51-1-1Out165328489,360,607
0-0-3Out3850138
61-2-0Out013691870,625,151,402
0-1-2Out13691848,074
5.50-2-1Out22965476,589,788
50-3-0Out206118140,284,218,467
Total:0.0%0022820392340160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.2
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.0
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.0
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.8-0.6-1.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Atlanta-1.5-0.7+0.8
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.2-0.2-0.2
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.1+0.2
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.2-0.3+0.1
Seattle vs Arizona-0.1-0.1+0.2
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.0+0.0-0.1
New England vs NY Jets-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
83-0-000041632301430
7.52-0-1032353192
72-1-00041633311430
1-0-20041633301430
6.51-1-1422392671
0-0-313255013
61-2-00031642390
0-1-2031642380
5.50-2-1007355250
50-3-0762220
Total:00001222499111936600