Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances 2016

Beat San Francisco 41-13, playoff odds up 3.3 to 93.8%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 +2.6
+0.2
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 -1.2
+0.1
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +1.0
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 +0.6
+0.0
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 -0.3
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 -0.2
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-1.9+3.2+3.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Atlanta-10.7+4.2+5.4
-0.9+0.0+0.5
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+2.1+2.0-3.2
+0.3+0.3-0.5
Chicago vs Washington+3.1+3.1-2.0
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.9-1.2-1.2
Dallas vs Detroit+0.2-0.5-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.2-0.1+0.3
Oakland vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Arizona-0.2-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In4152773,947,491,505
10.51-0-1In5801587,045,140
101-1-097.7%348264172069,681,689,709
0-0-297.923440417225,732
9.50-1-193.701067176040,934,084
90-2-049.43212547416,325,492,902
Total:93.8%20451721060160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs