Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to NY Giants 6-17, playoff odds down 13.5 to 73%
9-5-0 .643
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 | -10.6 | -0.7 | ||
| Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 | -2.1 | -0.2 | ||
| Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 | +1.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 | +0.9 | +0.0 | ||
| Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Washington vs Carolina | -4.0+7.0+6.8 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dallas vs Detroit | -7.8+17.1+19.9 | -0.4+0.7+1.0 | ||
| New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +4.6-1.5-7.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Chicago vs Washington | +6.7+6.8-4.3 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Green Bay vs Minnesota | -1.3+2.0+2.0 | -0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Carolina vs Atlanta | -1.3+1.0+0.7 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Oakland vs Indianapolis | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Seattle vs Arizona | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 40 | 56 | 4 | 25,323,899,680 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 25 | 50 | 25 | 53,991,908 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.2 | % | 1 | 24 | 60 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 84,295,493,276 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 2 | 38 | 60 | 25,336 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 77.3 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 73,995,565 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 20.5 | 0 | 21 | 52 | 27 | 50,335,273,307 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 73.0 | % | 7 | 22 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 9 | 160,082,679,072 | ||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs