Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 35.8%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 20 -12.4
-1.2
NY Giants 27 Baltimore 23 -1.0
-0.1
Green Bay 16 Dallas 30 -0.7
-0.1
Arizona 28 NY Jets 3 -0.6
-0.1
Seattle 26 Atlanta 24 -0.3
-0.0
Buffalo 45 San Francisco 16 +0.0
Chicago 16 Jacksonville 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Minnesota+10.4+2.8-10.4
+1.1+0.4-1.1
Detroit vs Washington+0.5+1.5-0.5
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.7*+0.2+0.7
Los Angeles vs NY Giants+0.1+1.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
San Francisco vs Tampa Bay+0.3+0.5-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs San Diego-0.4*-0.2+0.4
Kansas City vs New Orleans+0.3*+0.3-0.3
Arizona vs Seattle-0.2+0.3+0.2
Pittsburgh vs New England+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1411-0-0In1000271,296
13.510-0-1In99102,068
1310-1-0In9640012,573,428
9-0-2In1007
12.59-1-1In89902020,566
129-2-0100.0%74191060012,876,212
8-1-2In6826774
11.58-2-1In55293012092,734
118-3-0100.028331112520038,615,499
7-2-2In2935100241291
10.57-3-199.8122916236600247,883
107-4-094.221117635235100077,237,488
6-3-296.2211197342231736
9.56-4-184.8031162935132000432,448
5-3-3Out1002
96-5-039.400357243021820000108,126,227
5-4-240.30378233021811,057
8.55-5-116.00022122932175100519,743
4-4-333.333673
85-6-01.70010151526271761000108,147,155
4-5-21.101511263217711,030
7.54-6-10.100001518312813300432,724
74-7-00.00000027203026122077,260,163
3-6-2Out271832251421658
6.53-7-1Out0021128342050247,538
63-8-0Out00016223628838,625,556
2-7-2Out132339304282
5.52-8-1Out0021435361292,956
52-9-0Out00217443712,870,606
1-8-2Out16483664
4.51-9-1Out0110404920,605
41-10-0Out00226722,574,558
0-9-2Out10207010
3.50-10-1Out116831,953
30-11-0Out0892271,516
Total:35.8%5542999888776542481,565,136
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 20 +2.0
Green Bay 16 Dallas 30 +0.2
Detroit 31 Los Angeles 28 -0.1
NY Giants 27 Baltimore 23 +0.1
Tennessee 28 Cleveland 26 +0.1
Chicago 16 Jacksonville 17 +0.0
Miami 30 Pittsburgh 15 +0.0
Arizona 28 NY Jets 3 +0.0
New England 35 Cincinnati 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Minnesota-1.9+0.6+1.9
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Los Angeles vs NY Giants+0.1+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Washington-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Baltimore+0.0+0.1-0.0
Miami vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs New Orleans-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-09910
13.510-0-197210
1310-1-0888400010
9-0-2100
12.59-1-1791090020
129-2-051231811006000
8-1-24127267
11.58-2-131242723001200
118-3-08202410101102322000
7-2-282127810102311
10.57-3-11101613141203246000
107-4-002381076122132126000
6-3-2023812870221221140
9.56-4-100347511217305132000
5-3-3100
96-5-000002331612124512300000
5-4-2012341611124512210
8.55-5-100002021101527241341000
4-4-33367
85-6-00000100019212621126210000000
4-5-2017222423146210
7.54-6-1000000002615232417831000
74-7-0000000013917222014841000000
3-6-21281821191685100
6.53-7-10001513222519103100
63-8-0000001391723221573100
2-7-20371427241374
5.52-8-1000161627281751
52-9-0000141223282181
1-8-23313222025132
4.51-9-100211303818
41-10-000029274022
0-9-21010105020
3.50-10-10063361
30-11-00053065
Total:333232216463137653334332222211100