Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Baltimore 26-27, playoff odds unchanged at 0%
5-9-0   .357

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 *Out
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.5
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.1+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.6+0.2-0.7
Los Angeles vs San Francisco-0.1+0.2+0.2
Seattle vs Arizona+0.1-0.2-0.2
Carolina vs Atlanta-0.2+0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
72-0-0Out3204627534,786,105,302
6.51-0-1Out326521860,630,519
61-1-0Out22867481,966,213,489
0-0-2Out22866425,633
5.50-1-1Out21671267,358,264
50-2-0Out02964743,202,345,865
Total:Out14112043192160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +1.1
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.0
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.0
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.0
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-0.1+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-1.0+0.5+1.2
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.2+0.2-0.3
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.3+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.2+0.2-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.2-0.2+0.2
Seattle vs Arizona-0.1-0.1+0.2
New England vs NY Jets-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
72-0-002164130910
6.51-0-1730372050
61-1-0162440245
0-0-2162440245
5.50-1-10112384440
50-2-032659120
Total:0139101421201830