National Football Conference Playoff Chances 2016

Green Bay +22.1, Minnesota -19.5
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Dallas12-2-0.857108In9821.1+0.121.692Dallas Cowboys
Seattle9-4-1.67963In722082.4+0.138.630Seattle Seahawks
NY Giants10-4-0.7142297.4%+19.928213305.1+0.574.547New York Giants
Atlanta9-5-0.64311193.8+3.3204517210603.5+0.3811.664Atlanta Falcons
Detroit9-5-0.6431673.0-13.5722320121894.8-0.9614.532Detroit Lions
Washington17-5-1.5771353.1+5.71241182062006.8+0.117.524Washington Redskins
Green Bay8-6-0.5712447.3+22.107328211217306.2+1.3512.542Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay8-6-0.571-933.7-17.8061121424329206.8-0.5513.483Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota7-7-0.50051.7-19.5291845176208.9-1.1018.511Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans6-8-0.429140.0-0.101716382610210.2+1.1421.522New Orleans Saints
Carolina15-8-0.385-260.0-0.1002282039234011.8+0.1526.453Carolina Panthers
Arizona5-8-1.39315Out-0.10425332111611.3-0.8427.527Arizona Cardinals
Philadelphia5-9-0.35717Out-0.01411204319212.7-0.5323.533Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles4-10-0.286-131Out12718502213.8+0.3025.249Los Angeles Rams
Chicago3-11-0.214-72Out13207614.7-0.2730.358Chicago Bears
San Francisco1-13-0.071-170Out10016.0-0.0132.239San Francisco 49ers

We use the real NFL tiebreakers, except for net touchdowns (the last).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/15
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+16.0
+0.6
Atlanta-1.2
Detroit-10.6
-0.7
Washington-1.1
Green Bay+2.8
+0.2
Tampa Bay-3.7
Minnesota-2.3
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants+3.8
Atlanta+1.0
Detroit+1.4
Washington+5.6
+0.2
Green Bay+2.0
Tampa Bay+3.8
+0.2
Minnesota-17.7
-0.9
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas+0.1
NY Giants+1.9
Atlanta+0.6
Detroit+0.9
Washington+3.4
Green Bay+1.9
Tampa Bay-10.5
-0.4
Minnesota+1.7
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants-1.1
Atlanta-0.3
Detroit-2.1
-0.2
Washington-1.6
Green Bay+9.1
+0.7
Tampa Bay-3.2
Minnesota-0.7
Los Angeles+0.1
Chicago-0.3
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants-0.5
Atlanta+2.6
+0.2
Detroit-0.2
Washington-0.8
Green Bay-0.2
Tampa Bay-0.2
Minnesota-0.5
Philadelphia*Out
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SeattleIn
+0.2
Arizona-0.7
Los Angeles-0.2
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta-0.2
Green Bay-0.2
Tampa Bay+0.2
New Orleans+0.2
+1.0
ArizonaOut
-1.0
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay+0.2
Tampa Bay-0.2
San Diego 16 Oakland 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay-0.2
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia-0.5
Washington vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants96.094.999.8
5.25.25.0
Atlanta92.097.097.0
3.63.53.5
Detroit69.080.079.8
4.84.74.7
Washington69.436.425.2
6.37.07.6
Green Bay43.350.754.1
6.36.26.1
Tampa Bay29.540.140.9
6.96.56.6
New OrleansOut0.10.1
10.110.310.3
CarolinaOutOut0.0
12.311.611.0
Week of 12/22
New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants100.0100.093.2
5.05.05.2
Atlanta95.995.990.6
3.23.24.0
Detroit77.571.565.8
4.64.85.0
Washington61.839.439.4
6.67.07.0
Green Bay50.143.943.0
6.26.46.3
Tampa Bay11.946.668.0
7.66.75.5
Minnesota2.82.7Out
9.08.78.8
New Orleans0.1OutOut
9.710.511.0
Carolina0.0OutOut
Arizona11.411.411.0
Chicago vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants99.794.795.9
5.05.25.2
Atlanta96.996.991.9
Detroit79.779.868.7
4.74.74.8
Washington26.037.470.4
7.56.96.2
Green Bay54.649.342.6
6.16.36.3
Tampa Bay39.941.029.8
6.66.66.9
New Orleans0.10.1Out
Carolina0.00.1Out
Chicago14.414.914.9
Dallas vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit65.290.092.9
5.24.13.8
Washington55.646.646.6
6.76.86.8
Green Bay51.735.636.1
6.16.76.7
Tampa Bay34.534.431.8
6.76.86.9
Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit71.675.075.0
4.94.64.6
Washington50.959.156.3
6.86.56.8
Green Bay57.135.232.4
5.66.87.2
Tampa Bay29.338.840.3
6.96.76.6
MinnesotaOut0.64.3
9.58.58.1
New OrleansOutOut0.1
10.110.410.3
CarolinaOutOut0.0
11.811.911.8
Carolina vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta83.298.199.3
4.43.53.1
Washington54.952.152.1
Tampa Bay44.528.828.2
6.27.07.1
Carolina0.0OutOut
11.011.612.2
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants95.3InIn
5.35.24.8
Philadelphia12.112.513.4
Los Angeles14.014.013.6
Los Angeles vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles13.413.814.4
Seattle vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle2.12.52.8
Atlanta3.73.63.3
New Orleans10.010.110.5
Arizona11.711.310.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.