Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Tennessee 17-19, playoff odds down 0.4 to 97.7%
10-4-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -2.0
-0.7
Denver 3 New England 16 +1.7
-0.1
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.6
-0.1
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.6
-0.5
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.3
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreInIn-2.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs DenverInIn-2.3
+0.8-0.3-0.8
Buffalo vs Miami+0.8+0.8-0.8
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.6-0.6+0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
122-0-0In752513,206,854,373
11.51-0-1In257521,122,530
111-1-0In196561926,405,538,882
0-0-2In18657198,439
10.50-1-1In752521,137,262
100-2-090.6%22699013,207,108,338
Total:97.7%28340272052,861,769,824
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs