Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to New England 3-16, playoff odds down 29.8 to 12.8%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver 3 New England 16 -19.5
-0.7
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -9.3
-0.2
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -3.3
-0.0
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -2.3
-0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -2.3
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -1.4
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -0.4
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Denver-10.6-1.8+10.6
-0.7+0.2+0.7
Buffalo vs Miami+7.3-1.8-7.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+3.4+3.4-3.4
+0.1+0.2-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.3+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.2-0.2+0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-043.8%4450613,206,966,520
9.51-0-121.922699021,128,303
91-1-03.64284523126,405,788,622
0-0-22.4225452718,342
8.50-1-1Out7334117221,130,534
80-2-0Out834431413,206,747,503
Total:12.8%1326262011452,861,769,824
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs