Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Kansas City 19-17, playoff odds up 10.4 to 54.4%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +20.6
+1.5
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -7.7
-0.3
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -5.5
-0.4
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.8
-0.1
Denver 3 New England 16 +0.5
+0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.5
-0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.2
-0.0
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-28.0+13.1+14.2
-1.5+0.4+0.8
Houston vs Cincinnati-8.0+7.4+7.3
-0.3+0.3+0.3
Oakland vs Indianapolis+3.9+3.9-5.9
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.9+0.8-1.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.8-1.3-1.3
+0.0-0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver+0.7*+0.0-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs NY Jets-0.0+0.0+0.3
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-0In29871,554,109,724
9.51-0-182.7%2756125185,585,176
91-1-021.7193193518670,855,769,121
0-0-238.6362162914425,565
8.50-1-1Out3184032842,385,853
80-2-0Out428323617,544,803,633
Total:54.4%15219161164160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs