Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Minnesota 34-6, playoff odds down 0.8 to 4.3%
7-7-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +7.9
+1.3
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -2.8
-0.3
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -2.3
-0.1
Denver 3 New England 16 +0.1
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.1
-0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.1
-0.0
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.2
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 +0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland vs IndianapolisOutOut+6.5
-0.9-0.2+1.3
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+6.9-3.6-3.5
+0.4-0.2-0.2
Houston vs Cincinnati-3.8+3.5+3.5
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.5+0.5-0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.4-0.7-0.7
-0.1-0.3+0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.4+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
New England vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Washington+0.1-0.0-0.0
Carolina vs Atlanta-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
92-0-014.3%122163429748,008,021,057
8.51-0-1Out21335371473,737,963
81-1-0Out06534188,306,557,850
0-0-2Out011484125,512
7.50-1-1Out8712254,249,956
70-2-0Out57223023,640,086,734
Total:4.3%4151012323430160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -2.9
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.3
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.2
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.2
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 +0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.0
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.0
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland vs Indianapolis+1.7-0.1-2.6
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.7+0.4+0.3
Buffalo vs Miami+0.1+0.3-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.2+0.1+0.3
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.2-0.1
Chicago vs Washington-0.2+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.1-0.2-0.1
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Arizona-0.1-0.0+0.1
New England vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.2
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.1+0.0-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Detroit+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-0012025192923910
8.51-0-1016193329111
81-1-0001622382860
0-0-201622382850
7.50-1-10115522740
70-2-0019263322810
Total:030116976122117753100