Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Pittsburgh 20-24, playoff odds down 1.6 to 0%
5-8-1   .393

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 Out
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 Out
-0.8
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.1
+0.1
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.2
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.2
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -0.1
Denver 3 New England 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.4-0.1+0.4
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.2-0.2-0.2
Oakland vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.1
New England vs NY Jets+0.1+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Miami-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
7.52-0-0Out6385613,206,924,137
71-0-1Out516661421,131,426
6.51-1-0Out752526,405,650,350
0-0-2Out75258,509
60-1-1Out25631221,126,451
5.50-2-0Out19631913,206,928,951
Total:Out295628552,861,769,824
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 +1.8
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.1
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-0.2-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Cincinnati+1.3+0.2-1.3
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.2+0.2+0.2
Seattle vs Arizona-0.2+0.2+0.2
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.2-0.1-0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.2+0.2-0.2
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.2+0.1-0.2
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.1-0.1-0.1
New England vs NY Jets-0.1-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs San Francisco+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
7.52-0-001103241141
71-0-10312263020820
6.51-1-0526392361
0-0-2527382371
60-1-102102738240
5.50-2-001103141152
Total:002813172014111040