Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Pittsburgh 20-24, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0%
5-8-1   .393

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 Out
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 Out
-0.6
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.1
+0.0
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.2
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.2
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.0
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.3-0.2+0.3
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.3-0.1-0.1
New England vs NY Jets+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
7.52-0-0Out1227738,708,909,635
71-0-1Out19632763,066,691
6.51-1-0Out643680,211,123,647
0-0-2Out643625,678
60-1-1Out1386164,910,379
5.50-2-0Out1385241,034,643,042
Total:Out0554401160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 +1.3
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.0
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.0
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-0.1-0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Cincinnati+1.2+0.5-1.1
Seattle vs Arizona-0.1+0.3+0.3
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.2+0.1-0.3
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.3+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.2-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.2+0.2-0.2
New England vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
7.52-0-00042656141
71-0-10172333241020
6.51-1-0731372050
0-0-2730382050
60-1-10182641230
5.50-2-00212394440
Total:001617191913121110