Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2016

Did not play, playoff odds up 12.1 to 50.5%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 +11.1
+0.6
Denver 3 New England 16 +11.0
+0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +4.4
+0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.3
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.3
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.3
-0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.3
-0.0
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.2
-0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Miami-23.1+22.6+40.4
-0.8+1.0+1.4
Kansas City vs Denver+6.1+6.1-8.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Oakland vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
New England vs NY Jets-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In584218,018,930,848
10.51-0-1In208043,085,422
101-1-086.9%167111271,657,755,676
0-0-286.5167011225,576
9.50-1-161.161345084,897,461
90-2-00.716233826570,277,984,089
Total:50.5%143781117112160,082,679,072
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs