Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Cleveland 33-13, playoff odds down 0.09 to 0.6%
7-7-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver 3 New England 16 +0.7
+0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.7
+0.8
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.2
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.1
+0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -0.1
-0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.1
-0.1
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.6+0.6Out
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.6OutOut
+0.7+0.4-0.7
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.3+0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.1+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
92-0-02.3%210313320413,207,015,268
8.51-0-1Out2174133721,142,015
81-1-0Out5257026,405,733,042
0-0-2Out524718,565
7.50-1-1Out2575021,127,975
70-2-0Out5637613,206,742,959
Total:0.6%1281118509252,861,769,824
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -1.8
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.1
Denver 3 New England 16 -0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.1
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.1
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 +0.0
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 +0.0
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Miami-1.6-0.9+1.6
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.2-0.2+0.2
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.1-0.2-0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.1-0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.2+0.0+0.2
Carolina vs Atlanta+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Washington-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.1-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.1+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Arizona-0.1-0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.1-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-002292128231130
8.51-0-102925342361
81-1-002103142141
0-0-201103043151
7.50-1-13214326600
70-2-00042135271020
Total:0102576816221397300