Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2016
Beat Cleveland 33-13, playoff odds down 0.6 to 1.2%
7-7-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver 3 New England 16 | +1.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 | +0.4 | +0.3 | ||
| Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||
| Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| San Diego 16 Oakland 19 | +0.1 | |||
| NY Jets 13 Miami 34 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | +0.8+0.8Out | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Buffalo vs Miami | +0.7OutOut | +0.6+0.1-1.1 | ||
| Houston vs Cincinnati | -0.9+0.8+0.8 | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Oakland vs Indianapolis | +0.5+0.5-0.8 | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | ||
| Jacksonville vs Tennessee | +0.6+0.6-0.3 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| New England vs NY Jets | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Kansas City vs Denver | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2.6 | % | 3 | 11 | 32 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 74,129,830,943 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 87,315,127 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 3 | 18 | 79 | 70,005,949,080 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 3 | 18 | 79 | 25,468 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 15 | 85 | 0 | 40,657,102 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 49 | 43 | 9 | 15,818,901,352 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1.2 | % | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 160,082,679,072 | |||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 | -0.6 | |
| San Diego 16 Oakland 19 | -0.2 | |
| Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 | +0.2 | |
| Denver 3 New England 16 | -0.1 | |
| Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 | +0.1 | |
| Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 | +0.1 | |
| Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 | +0.1 | |
| NY Jets 13 Miami 34 | +0.1 | |
| Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 | -0.1 | |
| Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 | +0.0 | |
| NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 | -0.0 | |
| Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Washington vs Carolina | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Buffalo vs Miami | -1.2-0.5+2.0 | |
| Oakland vs Indianapolis | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | |
| Jacksonville vs Tennessee | -0.3-0.0+0.2 | |
| Green Bay vs Minnesota | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Cincinnati | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |
| Chicago vs Washington | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Cleveland vs San Diego | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |
| Kansas City vs Denver | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Atlanta | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What If
This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 55 | 13 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 56 | 13 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||