Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKnockout StageChance will finish regular season at seedEliminated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Hungary51-2-02In+0.2Yes+0.21006.0+0.01No-0.212.619Hungary
Iceland51-2-01In+37.4Yes+37.410010.0+3.54No-37.412.584Iceland
Portugal30-3-00In+57.3Yes+57.310015.0+0.13No-57.320.495Portugal
Austria10-1-2-3Out-37.3No-37.310022.0-4.95Yes+37.324.158Austria

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/12
Romania 1 Switzerland 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.1
Iceland-0.5
-0.5
+0.5
Portugal-0.6
-0.6
+0.6
Austria-0.3
-0.3
+0.3
France 2 Albania 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Iceland+0.3
+0.3
-0.3
Portugal+0.3
+0.3
-0.3
Austria+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
+0.1
Week of 6/17
Iceland 2 Austria 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary-0.3
-0.3
+0.3
-0.5
IcelandIn
Yes
No
+4.9
Portugal-0.2
-0.2
+0.2
+0.0
AustriaOut
No
Yes
-3.8
Hungary 3 Portugal 3
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
HungaryIn
Yes
No
-0.3
Iceland-1.8
-1.8
+1.8
-0.1
Portugal+41.9
+41.9
-41.9
-0.1
Austria+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
+0.1
Portugal 0 Austria 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.3
Iceland+2.6
+2.6
-2.6
+0.5
Portugal-26.7
-26.7
+26.7
-2.4
Austria+1.6
+1.6
-1.6
+0.8
Iceland 1 Hungary 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+2.3
+2.3
-2.3
-0.8
Iceland+5.1
+5.1
-5.1
+0.4
Portugal-0.1
-0.1
+0.1
-0.0
Austria-0.2
-0.2
+0.2
Slovakia 0 England 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary-0.2
-0.2
+0.2
+0.2
Iceland-0.9
-0.9
+0.9
Portugal-2.7
-2.7
+2.7
-0.1
Austria-0.2
-0.2
+0.2
Ukraine 0 Northern Ireland 2
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary-0.3
-0.3
+0.3
Iceland-0.8
-0.8
+0.8
Portugal-0.8
-0.8
+0.8
Austria-1.5
-1.5
+1.5
Northern Ireland 0 Germany 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Iceland+0.6
+0.6
-0.6
Portugal+1.7
+1.7
-1.7
Austria+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Czech Republic 2 Croatia 2
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary-0.2
-0.2
+0.2
Iceland-0.7
-0.7
+0.7
Portugal-0.6
-0.6
+0.6
Austria-0.5
-0.5
+0.5
Belgium 3 Rep of Ireland 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Iceland+0.4
+0.4
-0.4
Portugal+1.2
+1.2
-1.2
Czech Republic 0 Turkey 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Iceland+0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Portugal+1.1
+1.1
-1.1
+0.1
Austria+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Italy 1 Sweden 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Iceland+0.3
+0.3
-0.3
Portugal+0.9
+0.9
-0.9
Romania 0 Albania 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Iceland*-0.1
*-0.1
*+0.1
Portugal+0.7
+0.7
-0.7
+0.1
Austria+0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Spain 3 Turkey 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Iceland+0.4
+0.4
-0.4
Portugal+0.4
+0.4
-0.4
Austria+0.3
+0.3
-0.3
Germany 0 Poland 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Austria-0.2
-0.2
+0.2
Croatia 2 Spain 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.2
Iceland-0.2
Switzerland 0 France 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary+0.1
Italy 0 Rep of Ireland 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Portugal-0.9
Austria-0.6
Sweden 0 Belgium 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Iceland-0.4
Portugal+0.1
Ukraine 0 Poland 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Knockout Stage100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Hungary-0.0
Austria+0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.