How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Saprissa vs Dragón-1.7+5.6+0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffs123Count
10-12Yes100188,011,956*
92-01091.0%919220,279,030
81-00296.797339,859,905
71-01162.66337165,494,218
61-0208.797714164,299,323
0-00360.360404,992,591
50-0121.41881129,737,297
40-021No406055,414,910
30-030No89231,214,370
Total:61.0%612910899,303,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Central vs Sporting Kansas-0.1-0.1+0.1
Olimpia vs Police United-0.1-0.1+0.1
Herediano vs UANL+0.0-0.1+0.0
Suchitepéquez vs Real Estelí+0.0-0.1+0.0
UNAM vs Honduras Progreso+0.0-0.1-0.0
Saprissa vs Dragón-0.0+0.1+0.0
Monterrey vs Árabe Unido+0.0-0.1-0.0
Alianza vs New York Red Bu-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD123456789101112131415161718192021222324
123-00052331230000
102-001102631219200
92-0101411202522135100000
81-002001616272816510000
71-01100002716232316831000
61-020000002613202319115100000
0-0030000412222520115100000
50-012000131021282311300000
40-02100013815222317931000
30-030000026142224191030
Total:677888766655433222111000