Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 1048-854, playoff odds down 0.2 to 20.3%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +7.5
+0.7
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -2.1
-0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -2.0
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.9
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.6
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.5
-0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.3
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Phillies+7.5-7.5
+0.6-0.6
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.2+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.6-1.6
Giants vs Mariners-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Angels-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1711-0100.0%951040465,915
1610-199.6788014004,385,260
159-296.2422023240021,935,264
148-381.310197451710065,780,761
137-446.4167333913100131,559,371
126-512.60039363714100184,207,071
115-61.20001103439142000184,188,815
104-70.0000193538162000131,592,201
93-80.000019303818400065,789,994
82-9Out00162333251020021,926,985
71-10Out00313273120614,382,320
60-11Out001518333212467,263
Total:20.3%33312182018127310000816,681,220
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs