New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Orioles 882-1067, playoff odds down 1.4 to 0.5%
3-7   .300

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -1.3
-0.7
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.3
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Twins+0.3-0.3
+0.7-0.7
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.1+0.1
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Athletics+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1411-076.0%3232228195000466,457
1310-134.005161330251020004,387,677
129-26.60051102531207100021,926,835
118-30.601004142729176100065,774,206
107-40.0000001517292815400131,570,722
96-50.000002822342680184,217,316
85-60.00000041738347184,195,160
74-7Out00002185129131,581,181
63-8Out0003366065,782,706
52-9Out00168421,931,469
41-10Out004964,380,705
30-11Out199466,786
Total:0.5%00000124681114182114816,681,220
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +1.4
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Twins-1.4+1.4
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1411-0021020231551213000
1310-1000151012628241031000
129-20000244152424167200000
118-30010028172422157310000
107-40000002817242315720000
96-5000003918252314610000
85-60000014122227211031000
74-700002818272514510
63-8000016172928153
52-900018254026
41-1000052866
30-1100793
Total:000000000111223456788998765431