Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Lost to Angels 1250-1424, playoff odds down 8.2 to 6.5%
5-5 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 | -5.9 | -0.9 | ||
| Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 | -1.7 | |||
| Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 | -1.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 | -0.4 | |||
| Astros 1644 Indians 1336 | +0.3 | |||
| Braves 595 White Sox 1119 | -0.3 | |||
| Rangers 961 Mets 1185 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 | +0.1 | |||
| Nationals 717 Royals 753 | -0.1 | |||
| Marlins 970 Twins 846 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks | +3.2-3.2 | +0.8-0.8 | ||
| Cardinals vs Red Sox | +1.3-1.3 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Orioles vs Rockies | -1.0+1.0 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Braves vs Tigers | +0.3-0.3 | |||
| Rays vs Indians | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Marlins vs Angels | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Mets vs White Sox | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Astros vs Reds | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Brewers vs Royals | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Rangers vs Padres | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Giants vs Mariners | +0.1-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 16 | 11 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 32 | 52 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 467,083 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 10 | - | 1 | 94.9 | 7 | 46 | 22 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4,387,727 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 9 | - | 2 | 71.9 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21,930,429 | ||||||||
| 13 | 8 | - | 3 | 31.9 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65,800,994 | |||||||
| 12 | 7 | - | 4 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131,576,771 | |||||
| 11 | 6 | - | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184,204,637 | ||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 6 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 184,192,595 | ||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 131,554,872 | |||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 5 | 65,786,963 | |||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 47 | 26 | 21,925,857 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | 4,387,826 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 465,466 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 6.5 | % | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 816,681,220 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 | +1.6 | |
| Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks | -1.5+1.5 | |
| Orioles vs Rockies | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Brewers vs Royals | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Rangers vs Padres | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 16 | 11 | - | 0 | 32 | 46 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 10 | - | 1 | 6 | 26 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||