National Football League Playoff Chances 2016-2017

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												First Seed			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		First Pick
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Patriots		14	-	2	-	0	.875	191	In			Yes		+12.3	100																1.0	+0.12	No			4	.817	New England
Cowboys		13	-	3	-	0	.813	115	In			Yes			100																1.0		No			2	.708	Dallas
Chiefs		12	-	4	-	0	.750	78	In			No				100															2.0	+2.22	No			1	.650	Kansas City
Falcons		11	-	5	-	0	.688	134	In			No				100															2.0	+0.32	No			7	.703	Atlanta
Steelers		11	-	5	-	0	.688	72	In			No					100														3.0		No			6	.636	Pittsburgh
Seahawks		10	-	5	-	1	.656	62	In			No					100														3.0	-0.01	No			12	.628	Seattle
Packers		10	-	6	-	0	.625	44	In		+32.3	No						100													4.0	+1.28	No			9	.578	Green Bay
Texans		9	-	7	-	0	.563	-49	In			No						100													4.0		No			10	.394	Houston
Raiders		12	-	4	-	0	.750	31	In			No		-12.3					100												5.0	-2.22	No			3	.556	Oakland
NY Giants		11	-	5	-	0	.688	26	In			No							100												5.0		No			5	.558	NY Giants
Dolphins		10	-	6	-	0	.625	-17	In			No								100											6.0	-0.12	No			14	.467	Miami
Lions		9	-	7	-	0	.563	-12	In		+29.6	No								100											6.0	-0.96	No			16	.476	Detroit
Buccaneers		9	-	7	-	0	.563	-15	Out		-0.0	No									100										7.0	+0.82	No			13	.471	Tampa Bay
Titans		9	-	7	-	0	.563	3	Out			No									100										7.0	+0.91	No			18	.506	Tennessee
Broncos		9	-	7	-	0	.563	36	Out			No										100									8.0	+0.57	No			8	.577	Denver
Redskins		8	-	7	-	1	.531	13	Out		-61.8	No										100									8.0	-1.37	No			11	.524	Washington
Ravens		8	-	8	-	0	.500	22	Out			No											100								9.0	-1.37	No			17	.545	Baltimore
Vikings		8	-	8	-	0	.500	20	Out			No											100								9.0	+0.76	No			20	.543	Minnesota
Colts		8	-	8	-	0	.500	19	Out			No												100							10.0	+0.13	No			19	.534	Indianapolis
Cardinals		7	-	8	-	1	.469	56	Out			No												100							10.0	+0.49	No			23	.602	Arizona
Bills		7	-	9	-	0	.438	21	Out			No													100						11.0	-0.24	No			26	.539	Buffalo
Saints		7	-	9	-	0	.438	15	Out			No													100						11.0	-0.96	No			21	.525	New Orleans
Eagles		7	-	9	-	0	.438	36	Out			No														100					12.0	+0.54	No			15	.571	Philadelphia
Bengals		6	-	9	-	1	.406	10	Out			No														100					12.0	+0.22	No			22	.521	Cincinnati
Panthers		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-33	Out			No															100				13.0	-0.91	No			25	.439	Carolina
NY Jets		5	-	11	-	0	.313	-134	Out			No															100				13.0	+1.07	No			27	.254	NY Jets
Chargers		5	-	11	-	0	.313	-13	Out			No																100			14.0	-1.11	No			24	.477	San Diego
LA Rams		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-170	Out			No																100			14.0	+0.17	No			28	.190	LA Rams
Bears		3	-	13	-	0	.188	-120	Out			No																	100		15.0	-0.17	No			30	.275	Chicago
Jaguars		3	-	13	-	0	.188	-82	Out			No																	100		15.0	-0.18	No			29	.345	Jacksonville
49ers		2	-	14	-	0	.125	-171	Out			No																		100	16.0		No		-6.3	32	.225	San Francisco
Browns		1	-	15	-	0	.063	-188	Out			No																		100	16.0		Yes		+6.3	31	.191	Cleveland

Week of 12/15
Redskins 15 Panthers 26
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Redskins	-30.3						-0.9

Chiefs 17 Titans 19
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Chiefs	-2.3		-4.1				-0.8
Texans	-18.8						-0.9
Titans	+23.1						+1.6

Vikings 6 Colts 34
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Vikings	-18.5						-1.0

Broncos 3 Patriots 16
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots	In		+9.5
Steelers	+1.2		No
Dolphins	+11.8		No
Broncos	-20.4		No				-0.7
Bills	+1.4

NY Giants 17 Lions 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants	+16.0		+1.3				+0.5
Lions	-9.1		-3.6				-0.6

NY Jets 13 Dolphins 34
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Dolphins	+10.9						+0.7
Chargers	Out

Texans 21 Jaguars 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	+10.2						+0.8
Titans	-7.6						-0.3

Cowboys 26 Buccaneers 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Cowboys			+3.1
Falcons			No
Seahawks			No
Buccaneers	-9.6		No				-0.3
Redskins	+3.2

Bengals 20 Steelers 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers	+9.1						+0.5
Ravens	-6.4						-0.2
Bengals	Out						-0.6

Bears 27 Packers 30
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Packers	+9.1						+0.7

Ravens 27 Eagles 26
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Ravens	+8.6						+0.8
Bengals	Out

Falcons 41 49ers 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Falcons	+1.8
Eagles	*Out
Bears					*No
49ers					+2.1
Browns					-2.0

Chargers 16 Raiders 19
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders	In		+7.6				+0.6

Cardinals 41 Saints 48
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals	Out						-1.1

Seahawks 24 LA Rams 3
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Seahawks	In

Bills 33 Browns 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Bills	+0.3						+0.2
Bears					*No
49ers					-5.4
Browns					+5.6

Week of 12/22
Bills 31 Dolphins 34
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Dolphins	+43.3						+1.5
Broncos	-11.8						-0.3
Ravens	-17.3
Bills	Out						-1.2

Jaguars 38 Titans 17
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	+21.4						+0.9
Titans	-30.0						-1.6
Jaguars					No

Saints 31 Buccaneers 24
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Packers	+5.1
NY Giants	In
Lions	+7.0
Buccaneers	-20.8						-0.8
Redskins	+6.4
Vikings	+1.5

Bears 21 Redskins 41
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Packers	-7.0						-0.2
Redskins	+18.9						+0.7
Saints	Out
Panthers	Out

Steelers 31 Ravens 27
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Chiefs	In
Steelers	In						+0.7
Ravens	Out						-1.0

Texans 12 Bengals 10
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Texans	+15.0						+1.2
Titans	-8.6						-0.4

Packers 38 Vikings 25
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Packers	+12.1						+0.6
NY Giants	-0.2
Buccaneers	-6.8
Vikings	Out						-0.6
Saints	Out
Panthers	Out

Chiefs 33 Broncos 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Chiefs	In						+0.6
Dolphins	In
Broncos	Out						-0.5

Cowboys 42 Lions 21
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Lions	-5.9						-0.2
Redskins	+5.8

Panthers 16 Falcons 33
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants	-0.2
Panthers	Out						-0.6

Raiders 33 Colts 25
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Colts	Out						-0.8

LA Rams 21 49ers 22
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
49ers					-13.9
Browns					+13.8

Browns 20 Chargers 17
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
49ers					+40.0
Browns					-40.1

Eagles 24 NY Giants 19
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Cowboys			Yes
NY Giants			No

Patriots 41 NY Jets 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots			+1.9
Raiders			-1.9

Week of 1/1
Redskins 10 NY Giants 19
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Packers	In						+0.3
Lions	In						+0.3
Buccaneers	Out						+0.4
Redskins	Out						-1.0

Lions 24 Packers 31
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Packers	In						+1.5
Lions	-32.4						-1.6
Buccaneers	Out
Redskins	+0.2

49ers 23 Seahawks 25
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Buccaneers	Out
49ers					+1.5
Browns					-1.5

Eagles 27 Cowboys 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Buccaneers	Out

Broncos 24 Raiders 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots			Yes
Raiders			No				-0.9

Dolphins 14 Patriots 35
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Patriots			Yes
Raiders			No

Steelers 27 Browns 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Seed	100.0*	First Pick	100.0*	Average seed
49ers					No
Browns					Yes

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National Football League Playoff Chances 2016-2017

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