Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLeague OneChance will finish season at seedConference
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Exeter City103-1-039.7%+2.524.5%+5.110876655554444333333222219.3+1.162.8%-1.43Exeter City
Newport County82-2-046.5+1.818.2+4.176655555544444444333332210.7+1.194.6-2.11Newport County
Stevenage82-2-036.5+1.718.2+4.176655555544444444333332210.7+1.184.6-2.14Stevenage
Crewe Alexandra82-2-026.5+1.818.1+4.076655555544444444333332210.7+1.064.6-1.62Crewe Alexandra
Luton Town72-1-185.4-0.615.6-1.255555555444444444444333311.4-0.285.6+0.412Luton Town
Accrington Stan72-1-125.3-0.015.4-0.055555555444444444444333311.4-0.015.7+0.15Accrington Stanley
Notts County72-1-115.3+0.115.4+0.155555555444444444444333311.45.8+0.16Notts County
Wycombe Wanderers72-1-105.3+1.515.4+3.655555555444444444444333311.4+1.185.8-2.513Wycombe Wanderers
Swindon Town72-1-1-15.2-1.915.3-4.155555555444444444444333311.4-1.025.8+1.58Swindon Town
Coventry City62-0-224.3-1.713.0-3.744444444444444444444444312.1-1.037.1+1.87Coventry City
Carlisle United62-0-204.3-1.613.0-3.644444444444444444444444312.2-1.027.1+1.818Carlisle United
Yeovil Town62-0-2-44.2+1.212.8+3.244444444444444444444444312.2+1.197.2-2.914Yeovil Town
Lincoln City51-2-123.4+1.010.9+2.734444444444444444444444412.9+1.198.7-3.39Lincoln City
Mansfield Town51-2-113.4-0.410.9-1.034444444444444444444444412.9-0.288.7+0.511Mansfield Town
Morecambe51-2-103.4-0.410.8-1.034444444444444444444444412.9-0.288.7+0.519Morecambe
Cambridge United41-1-2-12.7-0.39.0-0.833334444444444445555555513.6-0.3510.7+1.016Cambridge United
Colchester United41-1-2-12.7+0.89.0+2.333334444444444445555555513.6+1.1810.7-3.915Colchester United
Barnet41-1-2-12.7-1.19.0-2.833334444444444445555555513.6-1.0210.7+2.410Barnet
Forest Green Ro41-1-2-52.7-1.18.9-2.933333444444444445555555513.7-1.0610.7+2.622Forest Green Rovers
Crawley Town31-0-3-12.1+0.77.4+2.023333334444444455555566714.4+1.1512.8-4.424Crawley Town
Port Vale31-0-3-22.1-0.97.4-2.522333334444444455555566714.4-1.0312.8+2.921Port Vale
Grimsby Town31-0-3-32.1-0.97.3-2.522333334444444455555566714.4-1.0312.9+2.817Grimsby Town
Cheltenham Town31-0-3-42.1-0.97.3-2.522333334444444455555566714.4-1.0312.9+2.923Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield31-0-3-52.1-1.07.3-2.622333334444444455555566714.4-1.0412.9+2.920Chesterfield

To update, cc this data to: j.hicken@tiscali.co.uk

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/26
Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City+2.4
+5.0
-1.6
+1.2
Luton Town-0.1
Accrington Stan-0.1
-0.2
Coventry City-0.1
-0.3
Lincoln City-0.1
Mansfield Town*-0.1
Crawley Town-0.2
Cheltenham Town-1.0
-2.7
+2.7
-1.1
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City+0.1
*+0.2
Newport County*+0.1
*+0.1
+0.1
Stevenage+0.2
Luton Town*+0.1
Notts County*+0.1
+0.1
Wycombe Wanderers*+0.1
+0.2
Swindon Town-1.9
-4.1
+1.5
-1.0
Carlisle United*+0.1
*+0.2
Yeovil Town+0.1
Mansfield Town+0.1
+0.2
Colchester United+0.1
+0.2
Barnet+0.2
+0.1
Crawley Town+0.7
+2.1
-4.4
+1.2
Port Vale+0.1
+0.2
Grimsby Town+0.2
Cheltenham Town+0.1
Chesterfield+0.2
Yeovil Town 2 Coventry City 0
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City+0.1
+0.2
Coventry City-1.7
-3.8
+1.7
-1.0
Yeovil Town+1.2
+3.2
-3.0
+1.2
Barnet+0.1
Barnet 0 Stevenage 1
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Newport County*-0.1
Stevenage+1.8
+4.1
-2.2
+1.2
Barnet-1.2
-3.0
+2.4
-1.1
Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Coventry City*+0.1
*+0.1
Carlisle United-1.7
-3.9
+1.8
-1.1
Lincoln City+1.0
+2.8
-3.5
+1.2
Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Crewe Alexandra+1.8
+4.1
-2.2
+1.2
Cambridge United-0.2
Port Vale-1.0
-2.7
+2.8
-1.1
Newport County 4 Chesterfield 1
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Newport County+1.8
+4.1
-2.2
+1.2
Chesterfield-1.0
-2.7
+2.7
-1.1
Grimsby Town 2 Wycombe Wanderers 3
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe Wanderers+1.5
+3.7
-2.6
+1.2
Grimsby Town-1.0
-2.6
+2.8
-1.0
Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Colchester United+0.8
+2.4
-4.0
+1.2
Barnet+0.1
Forest Green Ro-1.2
-3.0
+2.5
-1.1
Cambridge United 0 Morecambe 0
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City+0.2
+0.2
Crewe Alexandra+0.2
Notts County+0.2
Swindon Town*+0.1
Morecambe-0.4
-1.0
+0.4
-0.3
Cambridge United-0.4
-0.9
+0.4
-0.3
Mansfield Town 2 Luton Town 2
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town-0.5
-1.2
+0.2
-0.3
Swindon Town+0.2
Mansfield Town-0.4
-0.9
+0.3
-0.2
Chesterfield-0.2
Week of 9/2
Exeter City vs Newport CountyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City12.88.97.1
30.423.119.5
1.73.03.9
8.19.510.3
Newport County4.65.98.9
14.017.023.2
6.14.82.9
11.710.99.5
Stevenage6.56.66.5
18.118.3*18.2
Crewe Alexandra6.46.6*6.5
18.018.3*18.1
Swindon Town5.25.35.3
15.215.5*15.3
Cheltenham Town vs StevenageHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.89.79.5
24.624.624.3
Newport County6.66.66.4
18.318.318.0
4.64.64.5
Stevenage4.75.98.8
14.116.923.0
6.24.72.9
11.710.99.5
Crewe Alexandra6.66.66.4
18.218.218.0
4.74.64.6
Luton Town5.45.45.3
15.715.715.5
5.75.65.6
Notts County5.35.35.2
15.515.515.2
5.85.75.7
Swindon Town5.35.35.2
15.415.415.2
5.95.85.7
Cheltenham Town3.01.81.3
10.06.65.1
9.213.516.2
13.214.615.4
Grimsby Town vs Crewe AlexandraHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.79.89.5
24.624.624.3
Newport County6.66.66.4
18.318.318.0
4.64.64.5
Stevenage6.66.66.4
18.318.318.0
4.64.64.5
Crewe Alexandra4.75.98.8
14.116.923.0
6.24.82.9
11.710.99.5
Luton Town5.55.45.3
15.715.715.5
5.75.65.6
Accrington Stan5.35.35.2
15.515.515.3
5.85.75.7
Notts County5.35.35.2
15.515.515.2
5.85.75.7
Grimsby Town3.11.81.4
10.06.65.2
9.213.416.2
13.214.615.4
Chesterfield7.37.47.2
13.112.912.8
Lincoln City vs Luton TownHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.79.89.6
*24.524.624.4
Luton Town3.84.87.4
11.914.520.1
7.55.93.6
12.411.610.1
Lincoln City4.83.02.3
14.410.08.0
5.99.111.2
11.613.113.9
Morecambe vs Accrington StanHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.79.89.6
*24.524.624.4
Accrington Stan3.74.77.2
11.714.319.8
7.66.03.7
12.511.710.2
Morecambe4.83.02.3
14.49.97.9
6.09.111.3
11.713.114.0
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green RoHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.69.79.7
24.424.624.5
Wycombe Wanderers7.24.73.7
19.814.211.7
3.76.07.7
10.211.712.5
Forest Green Ro1.82.33.8
6.48.111.9
13.711.27.5
14.713.912.4
Swindon Town vs BarnetHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.69.79.7
24.324.624.5
Swindon Town7.24.73.7
19.714.211.7
3.86.07.7
10.211.712.5
Barnet1.82.43.8
6.48.112.0
13.611.17.4
14.713.912.4
Port Vale vs Notts CountyHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City9.79.79.6
24.624.624.3
Newport County6.66.66.4
18.218.318.0
4.64.64.5
Notts County3.74.77.2
11.814.319.8
7.76.03.7
12.511.710.2
Port Vale3.11.81.4
10.06.65.2
9.113.416.2
13.114.615.4
Carlisle United vs Mansfield TownHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Carlisle United5.93.82.9
16.912.09.7
4.77.49.3
10.912.413.2
Mansfield Town2.33.04.8
8.09.914.4
11.39.15.9
14.013.111.6
Chesterfield vs Coventry CityHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Coventry City3.03.85.9
9.812.016.9
9.37.44.7
13.212.410.9
Chesterfield3.01.81.4
9.96.65.2
9.213.516.3
13.214.615.4
Crawley Town vs Yeovil TownHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Yeovil Town2.93.75.8
9.611.816.7
9.57.54.8
13.312.511.0
Crawley Town3.11.91.4
10.06.75.2
9.113.316.1
13.114.615.4
Cambridge United vs Colchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge United3.82.41.8
12.08.16.5
7.411.113.6
12.413.914.7
Colchester United1.82.43.8
6.58.112.0
13.611.17.4
14.713.912.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you silverfish for adding this league.