SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+2.2-0.6-1.9
+3.2-0.9-2.9
-2.1+0.3+2.0
+1.0-0.2-1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stockport County vs Brackley Town+2.1-0.7-1.9
+3.1-1.0-2.9
-2.1+0.4+2.1
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stockport County finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
98-123YesYes100No117,766*
9729-4-699.9%99.9%1000No3,835*
9628-6-5100.0100.01000No6,618*
9528-5-699.9100.01000No11,461*
9428-4-799.999.91000No18,800*
9327-6-699.999.91000No30,086*
9227-5-799.899.91000No48,221*
9126-7-699.899.91000No75,297*
9026-6-799.799.81000No115,997*
8926-5-899.599.61000No174,015*
8825-7-799.399.49910No260,466*
8725-6-898.999.29910No379,707*
8625-5-998.498.89820No549,462*
8524-7-897.698.29820No781,960*
8424-6-996.497.396400No1,090,648*
8323-8-894.896.195500No1,505,318*
8223-7-992.794.593700No2,041,535*
8123-6-1089.892.3901000No2,731,370*
8022-8-986.089.58613100No3,598,169*
7922-7-1081.185.881181000No4,675,226*
7822-6-1175.081.375232000No5,984,030*
7721-8-1067.775.868284000No7,552,043*
7621-7-1159.369.4593471000No9,402,215*
7521-6-1249.962.45038101000No11,531,188*
7420-8-1140.055.04042163000No13,953,167*
7320-7-1230.347.730422251000No16,644,598*
7219-9-1121.240.921402892000No19,582,350*
7119-8-1213.635.11434331541000No22,725,725*
7019-7-137.830.58273422810000No26,004,030*
6918-9-123.926.9418322813410000No29,361,826*
6818-8-131.723.72112631218200000No32,696,208*
6718-7-140.620.21517292715510000No35,896,602*
6617-9-130.215.902922292311310000No38,889,684*
6517-8-140.010.8014132528198200000No41,546,606*
6417-7-150.06.0001617272616610000No43,782,553*
6316-9-140.02.60002819272413510000No45,509,212*
6216-8-150.00.8000031021272312410000No46,644,792*
6116-7-16No0.2000131122272110310000No47,158,170*
6015-9-15No0.0000014122327209300000No47,014,963*
5915-8-16No0.000014132427199200000No46,233,221*
5815-7-17No0.000000151424271882000000.0%44,825,744*
5714-9-16NoNo0000015152527187200000.042,856,180*
5614-8-17NoNo000016162626176100000.040,372,654*
5513-10-16NoNo000002717272615510000.037,521,204*
5413-9-17NoNo00002819272513410000.134,359,139*
5313-8-18NoNo00003102128231130000.531,003,507*
5212-10-17NoNo0000141224292192002.127,581,049*
5112-9-18NoNo000015152728176106.624,182,808*
5012-8-19NoNo000028203026123015.320,871,549*
4911-10-18NoNo00013122531217128.517,750,029*
4811-9-19NoNo0001618312913244.514,869,096*
4711-8-20NoNo00000211263422560.712,261,138*
4610-10-19NoNo000161935301074.59,962,732*
4510-9-20NoNo00031231371684.97,955,095*
4410-8-21NoNo0001725422591.76,257,134*
439-10-20NoNo000419433495.84,840,061*
429-9-21NoNo000213414498.03,681,820*
419-8-22NoNo0018375499.12,749,971*
408-10-21NoNo0005316399.62,022,787*
398-9-22NoNo003257299.91,459,806*
388-8-23NoNo0022078100.01,035,185*
377-10-22NoNo0011584100.0721,162*
367-9-23NoNo001188100.0493,813*
357-8-24NoNo00892100.0330,981*
347-7-25NoNo0694Yes215,733*
336-9-24NoNo0496Yes139,433*
326-8-25NoNo0397Yes88,046*
316-7-26NoNo0298Yes53,963*
305-9-25NoNo199Yes32,658*
295-8-26NoNo199Yes18,925*
285-7-27NoNo0100Yes11,087*
274-9-26NoNo0100Yes6,126*
264-8-27NoNo0100Yes3,383*
254-7-28NoNo0100Yes1,734*
243-9-27NoNo0100Yes921*
233-8-28NoNo100Yes440*
223-7-29NoNo0100Yes237*
6-21NoNo100Yes112,902*
Total:5.9%11.9%66666665555554444333216.2%996,979,372

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)