Harrogate Town Title Chances 2016-17Did not play, title odds down 0.2 to 5.4% 5 points 1-2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | | Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 | -0.9 | | -1.2 | | +0.5 | | -0.3 | | | Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | | AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town | -1.6-0.7+1.8 | | -2.6-1.0+2.8 | | +2.4+0.4-2.4 | | -1.0-0.3+1.0 | | | Boston United vs Tamworth | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | | | | Worcester City vs Gloucester City | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Salford City vs FC United of Ma | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Altrincham vs AFC Fylde | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | | Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | | Chorley vs Bradford Park A | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel | | | | | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | | Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town | -1.6-0.5+2.0 | | -2.5-0.8+3.1 | | +2.1+0.2-2.4 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | | Darlington 1883 vs Chorley | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Nuneaton Town vs Salford City | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | FC United of Ma vs Worcester City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | | AFC Fylde vs Salford City | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Stockport County vs Brackley Town | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Chorley vs Boston United | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford | | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Harrogate Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | -122 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,676 | * | | 98 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,665 | * | | 97 | | 29 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,985 | * | | 96 | | 29 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,225 | * | | 95 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,573 | * | | 94 | | 28 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,693 | * | | 93 | | 28 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,945 | * | | 92 | | 27 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,005 | * | | 91 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,073 | * | | 90 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,886 | * | | 89 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 143,429 | * | | 88 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 214,676 | * | | 87 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.0 | | 99.2 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 317,870 | * | | 86 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 98.4 | | 98.8 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 461,780 | * | | 85 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 97.7 | | 98.2 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 662,177 | * | | 84 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 96.5 | | 97.4 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 932,307 | * | | 83 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 95.0 | | 96.2 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,291,712 | * | | 82 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 92.9 | | 94.6 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,768,351 | * | | 81 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 90.1 | | 92.5 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,383,081 | * | | 80 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 86.2 | | 89.7 | | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,162,875 | * | | 79 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 81.5 | | 86.1 | | 81 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,141,845 | * | | 78 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 75.5 | | 81.6 | | 75 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,337,059 | * | | 77 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 68.3 | | 76.2 | | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,785,071 | * | | 76 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 59.9 | | 69.9 | | 60 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,496,236 | * | | 75 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 50.5 | | 62.9 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,491,012 | * | | 74 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 40.6 | | 55.5 | | 41 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,777,528 | * | | 73 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 30.9 | | 48.1 | | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,355,104 | * | | 72 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 21.7 | | 41.3 | | 22 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,179,190 | * | | 71 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 14.0 | | 35.4 | | 14 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,228,604 | * | | 70 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 8.1 | | 30.7 | | 8 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,452,282 | * | | 69 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 4.1 | | 27.0 | | 4 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,785,781 | * | | 68 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 1.8 | | 23.9 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,134,913 | * | | 67 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.6 | | 20.4 | | 1 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,404,169 | * | | 66 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 14 | 0.2 | | 16.1 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,509,824 | * | | 65 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 11.0 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,321,474 | * | | 64 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 6.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 42,771,062 | * | | 63 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 2.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 44,738,991 | * | | 62 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 46,152,373 | * | | 61 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 46,968,303 | * | | 60 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 47,130,599 | * | | 59 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 46,639,228 | * | | 58 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 45,521,515 | * | | 57 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 43,797,572 | * | | 56 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 41,560,882 | * | | 55 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 38,885,111 | * | | 54 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 35,842,172 | * | | 53 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | | 32,587,724 | * | | 52 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | | 29,187,941 | * | | 51 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | | 25,778,822 | * | | 50 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 14.6 | | 22,422,854 | * | | 49 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 27.4 | | 19,210,069 | * | | 48 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 43.3 | | 16,229,633 | * | | 47 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 59.4 | | 13,489,595 | * | | 46 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 73.4 | | 11,038,477 | * | | 45 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 37 | 15 | 84.0 | | 8,897,157 | * | | 44 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 91.1 | | 7,053,896 | * | | 43 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 33 | 95.4 | | 5,506,180 | * | | 42 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 97.8 | | 4,222,791 | * | | 41 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 99.0 | | 3,187,783 | * | | 40 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 62 | 99.6 | | 2,369,177 | * | | 39 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 99.8 | | 1,726,182 | * | | 38 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 1,237,388 | * | | 37 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 870,276 | * | | 36 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 87 | 100.0 | | 601,620 | * | | 35 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 100.0 | | 408,378 | * | | 34 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 270,990 | * | | 33 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 175,521 | * | | 32 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 112,446 | * | | 31 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 70,259 | * | | 30 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 42,421 | * | | 29 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 25,748 | * | | 28 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 14,824 | * | | 27 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,456 | * | | 26 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,839 | * | | 25 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,609 | * | | 24 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,370 | * | | 23 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 703 | * | | 5 | -22 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 113,359 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.4 | % | 11.1 | % | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6.9 | % | 996,979,372 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |