How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 +1.9
+2.8
-2.7
+1.0
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town-2.6-0.8+3.3
-3.6-1.0+4.3
+1.2+0.1-1.4
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth+3.2-0.9-2.9
+4.2-1.2-3.9
-1.3+0.2+1.3
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the FC Halifax Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
100-124YesYes100No118,570*
9929-5-5100.0%100.0%1000No4,734*
9829-4-6100.0100.01000No8,047*
9728-6-5100.0100.01000No13,906*
9628-5-699.9100.01000No22,122*
9528-4-799.9100.01000No36,086*
9427-6-699.999.91000No57,289*
9327-5-799.999.91000No88,812*
9226-7-699.899.91000No136,471*
9126-6-799.899.81000No205,817*
9026-5-899.799.810000No304,408*
8925-7-799.599.710000No445,700*
8825-6-899.399.59910No639,629*
8725-5-999.099.29910No904,809*
8624-7-898.498.89820No1,257,377*
8524-6-997.798.39820No1,723,665*
8423-8-896.697.497300No2,327,244*
8323-7-995.196.395500No3,094,799*
8223-6-1093.094.793700No4,057,678*
8122-8-990.292.7909000No5,236,541*
8022-7-1086.589.98613100No6,672,950*
7922-6-1181.886.38217100No8,374,570*
7821-8-1075.981.97622200No10,355,174*
7721-7-1168.776.569274000No12,627,884*
7621-6-1260.470.360336100No15,183,102*
7520-8-1151.063.35138101000No17,992,298*
7420-7-1241.255.94141152000No21,040,728*
7319-9-1131.348.531422151000No24,264,535*
7219-8-1222.141.5224027920000No27,586,458*
7119-7-1314.335.61435321430000No30,928,139*
7018-9-128.330.88283421710000No34,209,526*
6918-8-134.227.1419322813310000No37,319,029*
6818-7-141.823.9211263120820000No40,161,484*
6717-9-130.620.51518292714510000No42,612,790*
6617-8-140.216.2021023292210300000No44,608,405*
6517-7-150.011.1014142628187200000No46,053,573*
6416-9-140.06.3001617272615610000No46,885,712*
6316-8-150.02.70002820272413410000No47,096,893*
6216-7-160.00.8000031021272211410000No46,637,864*
6115-9-15No0.2000141122272110310000No45,555,856*
6015-8-16No0.000014122327209300000No43,862,285*
5914-10-15No0.0000015132427198200000No41,665,218*
5814-9-16No0.000001514252718820000No39,012,378*
5714-8-17No0.0000015152527177200000.0%36,011,218*
5613-10-16NoNo0000016162626176100000.032,774,110*
5513-9-17NoNo00002717272615510000.029,401,135*
5413-8-18NoNo00002819272514410000.125,995,009*
5312-10-17NoNo00003102128231130000.522,642,536*
5212-9-18NoNo0000141224292192002.219,435,694*
5112-8-19NoNo000015152728176106.716,441,004*
5011-10-18NoNo000028193026123015.613,687,865*
4911-9-19NoNo00003122531217128.911,233,636*
4811-8-20NoNo0001617312914245.09,068,264*
4710-10-19NoNo0000210263422561.27,212,088*
4610-9-20NoNo000151935311074.95,644,865*
4510-8-21NoNo000021231381785.24,341,180*
449-10-20NoNo001725422591.93,290,820*
439-9-21NoNo000419433595.92,450,575*
429-8-22NoNo00213414598.11,794,078*
418-10-21NoNo0018365499.11,288,613*
408-9-22NoNo0005316499.7910,875*
398-8-23NoNo003257299.9633,144*
387-10-22NoNo0022079100.0431,422*
377-9-23NoNo0011584100.0288,181*
367-8-24NoNo001188100.0188,400*
356-10-23NoNo0892Yes121,292*
346-9-24NoNo0694Yes76,844*
336-8-25NoNo0496Yes46,924*
326-7-26NoNo0397Yes28,370*
315-9-25NoNo0298Yes16,768*
305-8-26NoNo199Yes9,588*
295-7-27NoNo199Yes5,580*
284-9-26NoNo0100Yes3,006*
274-8-27NoNo0100Yes1,519*
264-7-28NoNo0100Yes796*
253-9-27NoNo0100Yes391*
7-24NoNo100Yes113,027*
Total:10.0%17.6%109877665554443333222113.5%996,979,372

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship