Chorley Title Chances 2016-17Did not play, title odds down 0.1 to 2.9% 2 points 0-2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | +0.3 | | -0.2 | | Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Chorley vs Bradford Park A | +1.1-0.4-1.0 | | +2.0-0.7-1.9 | | -3.6+0.7+3.6 | | +1.0-0.3-1.0 | | Boston United vs Tamworth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | Worcester City vs Gloucester City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Altrincham vs AFC Fylde | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Salford City vs FC United of Ma | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town | | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel | | | | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Darlington 1883 vs Chorley | -1.0-0.3+1.4 | | -1.7-0.4+2.4 | | +2.9+0.3-3.8 | | -0.9-0.2+1.2 | | Chorley vs Boston United | +1.0-0.5-1.0 | | +1.8-0.8-1.9 | | -3.5+0.9+4.1 | | +1.0-0.4-1.1 | | Nuneaton Town vs Salford City | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | FC United of Ma vs Worcester City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | AFC Fylde vs Salford City | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Stockport County vs Brackley Town | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford | | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chorley finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | -122 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 113,641 | * | 97 | | 30 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 867 | * | 96 | | 30 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,467 | * | 95 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,620 | * | 94 | | 29 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,325 | * | 93 | | 29 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,394 | * | 92 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,064 | * | 91 | | 28 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,947 | * | 90 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,641 | * | 89 | | 27 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,929 | * | 88 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 99.4 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,428 | * | 87 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 98.9 | | 99.2 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,025 | * | 86 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 98.4 | | 98.8 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 176,662 | * | 85 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 97.7 | | 98.2 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 261,899 | * | 84 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 96.5 | | 97.4 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 381,472 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 95.0 | | 96.2 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 546,232 | * | 82 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 92.9 | | 94.7 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 769,831 | * | 81 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 90.0 | | 92.5 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,069,107 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 86.2 | | 89.7 | | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,470,052 | * | 79 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 81.4 | | 86.0 | | 81 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,987,094 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 75.4 | | 81.5 | | 75 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,648,967 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 68.2 | | 76.2 | | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,480,328 | * | 76 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 59.8 | | 69.8 | | 60 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,512,635 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 50.4 | | 62.8 | | 50 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,757,835 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 40.5 | | 55.4 | | 41 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,259,124 | * | 73 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 30.7 | | 48.0 | | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,019,891 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 21.7 | | 41.2 | | 22 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,060,659 | * | 71 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 14.0 | | 35.4 | | 14 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,372,505 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 8.1 | | 30.6 | | 8 | 27 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,956,067 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 4.1 | | 27.0 | | 4 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,779,431 | * | 68 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 1.7 | | 23.8 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,810,702 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.6 | | 20.4 | | 1 | 5 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,994,756 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 14 | 0.2 | | 16.0 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,258,594 | * | 65 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 11.0 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 31,517,180 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 6.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 34,691,145 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 2.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 37,679,054 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 40,374,427 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 42,695,914 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 44,519,747 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 45,832,523 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 46,524,646 | * | 57 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 46,608,073 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 46,039,941 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 44,887,159 | * | 54 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 43,127,801 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 40,896,615 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | | 38,238,665 | * | 51 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 | | 35,244,861 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 14.5 | | 32,036,620 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 27.4 | | 28,706,394 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 43.2 | | 25,360,078 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 59.4 | | 22,072,817 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 73.4 | | 18,926,120 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 84.0 | | 15,997,504 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 91.2 | | 13,311,122 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 33 | 95.5 | | 10,914,741 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 97.8 | | 8,806,904 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 99.0 | | 6,996,453 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 62 | 99.6 | | 5,466,863 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 99.8 | | 4,207,622 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 78 | 99.9 | | 3,185,145 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 2,368,320 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 100.0 | | 1,729,978 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 91 | 100.0 | | 1,244,191 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 876,360 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | | 607,055 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 413,628 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 275,374 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 179,532 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 114,829 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 71,874 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 44,417 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 26,657 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,615 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,969 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 4,985 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,675 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 29 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,431 | * | 2 | -20 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 114,157 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.9 | % | 6.8 | % | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12.6 | % | 996,979,372 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |