How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 -0.3
-0.5
+0.3
-0.2
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
-0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chorley vs Bradford Park A+1.1-0.4-1.0
+2.0-0.7-1.9
-3.6+0.7+3.6
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-1.0-0.3+1.4
-1.7-0.4+2.4
+2.9+0.3-3.8
-0.9-0.2+1.2
Chorley vs Boston United+1.0-0.5-1.0
+1.8-0.8-1.9
-3.5+0.9+4.1
+1.0-0.4-1.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chorley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
98-122YesYes100No113,641*
9730-5-599.9%99.9%1000No867*
9630-4-699.999.91000No1,467*
9529-6-599.999.91000No2,620*
9429-5-699.999.91000No4,325*
9329-4-799.999.91000No7,394*
9228-6-699.999.91000No12,064*
9128-5-799.999.91000No19,947*
9027-7-699.799.81000No31,641*
8927-6-799.599.71000No49,929*
8827-5-899.499.5991No77,428*
8726-7-798.999.29910No118,025*
8626-6-898.498.89820No176,662*
8526-5-997.798.29820No261,899*
8425-7-896.597.49730No381,472*
8325-6-995.096.295500No546,232*
8224-8-892.994.793700No769,831*
8124-7-990.092.5901000No1,069,107*
8024-6-1086.289.78613100No1,470,052*
7923-8-981.486.08117100No1,987,094*
7823-7-1075.481.575222000No2,648,967*
7723-6-1168.276.268284000No3,480,328*
7622-8-1059.869.860336100No4,512,635*
7522-7-1150.462.85038101000No5,757,835*
7422-6-1240.555.44141153000No7,259,124*
7321-8-1130.748.031422151000No9,019,891*
7221-7-1221.741.222402792000No11,060,659*
7120-9-1114.035.41435321540000No13,372,505*
7020-8-128.130.68273422710000No15,956,067*
6920-7-134.127.041932281341000No18,779,431*
6819-9-121.723.82112631208200000No21,810,702*
6719-8-130.620.41518292715510000No24,994,756*
6619-7-140.216.0021023292210310000No28,258,594*
6518-9-130.011.0014142528188200000No31,517,180*
6418-8-140.06.20016172726156100000No34,691,145*
6318-7-150.02.70002819272413410000No37,679,054*
6217-9-140.00.8000031021272211410000No40,374,427*
6117-8-15No0.2000141222272110310000No42,695,914*
6017-7-16No0.0000014132327209300000No44,519,747*
5916-9-15No0.000015142427198200000No45,832,523*
5816-8-16No0.000001514252718820000No46,524,646*
5715-10-15No0.00000016152526177200000.0%46,608,073*
5615-9-16NoNo0000026162626166100000.046,039,941*
5515-8-17NoNo000002718272515510000.044,887,159*
5414-10-16NoNo000002819282413410000.143,127,801*
5314-9-17NoNo00013102228231130000.440,896,615*
5214-8-18NoNo0000141224292082002.038,238,665*
5113-10-17NoNo000016162728165106.135,244,861*
5013-9-18NoNo0000028203025123014.532,036,620*
4913-8-19NoNo00013122631206127.428,706,394*
4812-10-18NoNo00001618312813243.225,360,078*
4712-9-19NoNo0000311273421559.422,072,817*
4612-8-20NoNo00016203529973.418,926,120*
4511-10-19NoNo000031332371684.015,997,504*
4411-9-20NoNo00001826412491.213,311,122*
4311-8-21NoNo000420433395.510,914,741*
4210-10-20NoNo000214414397.88,806,904*
4110-9-21NoNo0019375399.06,996,453*
4010-8-22NoNo0005326299.65,466,863*
399-10-21NoNo0003267199.84,207,622*
389-9-22NoNo002217899.93,185,145*
379-8-23NoNo0011683100.02,368,320*
368-10-22NoNo001288100.01,729,978*
358-9-23NoNo00891100.01,244,191*
348-8-24NoNo00694100.0876,360*
337-10-23NoNo00496100.0607,055*
327-9-24NoNo0397Yes413,628*
317-8-25NoNo0298Yes275,374*
306-10-24NoNo0199Yes179,532*
296-9-25NoNo199Yes114,829*
286-8-26NoNo0100Yes71,874*
276-7-27NoNo0100Yes44,417*
265-9-26NoNo0100Yes26,657*
255-8-27NoNo0100Yes15,615*
245-7-28NoNo0100Yes8,969*
234-9-27NoNo100Yes4,985*
224-8-28NoNo0100Yes2,675*
214-7-29NoNo0100Yes1,431*
2-20NoNo100Yes114,157*
Total:2.9%6.8%334444555555555555554412.6%996,979,372

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship