How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.5
-0.8
+0.8
-0.3
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
*-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.8-0.3+1.1
-1.6-0.5+2.1
+3.4+0.4-4.1
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+1.0-0.4-0.9
+1.9-0.6-1.7
-3.8+0.7+3.6
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.0
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
AFC Fylde vs Salford City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bradford Park A finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
97-120YesYes100No113,588*
9629-6-499.9%99.9%1000No851*
94-95YesYes100No4,019*
9328-6-599.999.91000No4,456*
9228-5-699.999.91000No7,745*
9128-4-799.899.91000No12,817*
9027-6-699.899.81000No20,882*
8927-5-799.599.71000No33,203*
8826-7-699.499.5991No52,927*
8726-6-799.099.39910No82,092*
8626-5-898.598.99910No125,835*
8525-7-797.798.39820No189,476*
8425-6-896.797.59730No280,727*
8325-5-995.296.495500No410,094*
8224-7-893.194.893700No588,897*
8124-6-990.392.890900No831,734*
8023-8-886.690.08713100No1,161,226*
7923-7-982.086.58217100No1,593,837*
7823-6-1076.082.076222000No2,152,182*
7722-8-968.876.669274000No2,868,455*
7622-7-1060.470.360336100No3,767,767*
7522-6-1151.163.45138101000No4,879,453*
7421-8-1041.255.94141152000No6,230,810*
7321-7-1131.348.531422151000No7,845,570*
7221-6-1222.241.6224027920000No9,736,981*
7120-8-1114.335.61435321430000No11,915,736*
7020-7-128.330.88283421710000No14,375,716*
6919-9-114.227.141932271331000No17,118,355*
6819-8-121.823.9211263120820000No20,093,642*
6719-7-130.620.51518292714510000No23,265,808*
6618-9-120.216.202102329221030000No26,560,549*
6518-8-130.011.1014142628187200000No29,923,802*
6418-7-140.06.3001617272615610000No33,251,828*
6317-9-130.02.70002820272413410000No36,436,166*
6217-8-140.00.90000310212722114100000No39,373,893*
6117-7-150.00.20000141223272110310000No41,982,765*
6016-9-14No0.000014132327209300000No44,148,731*
5916-8-15No0.000001514242719820000No45,790,808*
5816-7-16No0.000001514252718720000No46,836,248*
5715-9-15No0.0000016152526177200000.0%47,232,493*
5615-8-16NoNo000026162626166100000.046,991,527*
5515-7-17NoNo000027182725155100000.046,098,238*
5414-9-16NoNo000002819282413410000.144,598,054*
5314-8-17NoNo000013102228221130000.442,521,380*
5214-7-18NoNo000141324282082001.939,960,261*
5113-9-17NoNo000016162728165106.037,034,152*
5013-8-18NoNo0000028203025113014.133,826,404*
4912-10-17NoNo000013122631206126.830,442,594*
4812-9-18NoNo00001619312812242.527,008,914*
4712-8-19NoNo0000311273420558.623,584,982*
4611-10-18NoNo000016203529972.820,309,628*
4511-9-19NoNo000031332361583.517,213,369*
4411-8-20NoNo0001826412390.814,366,876*
4310-10-19NoNo000420433295.211,801,511*
4210-9-20NoNo000214414297.79,546,026*
4110-8-21NoNo0019385299.07,598,019*
409-10-20NoNo0006326199.65,947,236*
399-9-21NoNo0003277099.84,576,770*
389-8-22NoNo002217799.93,463,060*
378-10-21NoNo0011683100.02,577,642*
368-9-22NoNo011287100.01,886,306*
358-8-23NoNo00991100.01,352,045*
347-10-22NoNo00694100.0952,192*
337-9-23NoNo00496100.0659,142*
327-8-24NoNo00397100.0446,724*
317-7-25NoNo0298Yes297,633*
306-9-24NoNo0199Yes192,780*
296-8-25NoNo0199Yes123,429*
286-7-26NoNo0199Yes76,975*
275-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,547*
265-8-26NoNo0100Yes27,908*
255-7-27NoNo0100Yes16,322*
244-9-26NoNo0100Yes9,127*
22-23NoNo100Yes7,842*
213-9-27NoNo0100Yes1,422*
3-20NoNo100Yes114,171*
Total:2.5%6.0%233444455555555555555413.5%996,979,372

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship