Alfreton Town Title Chances 2016-17Did not play, title odds down 0.1 to 3.3% 3 points 1-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | | Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 | -1.7 | | -2.7 | | +3.1 | | -1.1 | | | Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | | Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town | -1.1-0.4+1.4 | | -1.9-0.5+2.5 | | +2.8+0.3-3.4 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | | Boston United vs Tamworth | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Worcester City vs Gloucester City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Salford City vs FC United of Ma | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Altrincham vs AFC Fylde | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Chorley vs Bradford Park A | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel | | | | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | | Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde | +1.3-0.5-1.2 | | +2.3-0.7-2.1 | | -3.2+0.7+3.2 | | +1.0-0.3-1.0 | | | Darlington 1883 vs Chorley | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Nuneaton Town vs Salford City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | FC United of Ma vs Worcester City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | | AFC Fylde vs Salford City | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Stockport County vs Brackley Town | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | Chorley vs Boston United | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford | | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Alfreton Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | -120 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 116,173 | * | | 95 | | 29 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,686 | * | | 94 | | 29 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,769 | * | | 93 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,008 | * | | 92 | | 28 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,614 | * | | 91 | | 28 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,915 | * | | 90 | | 27 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,518 | * | | 89 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,884 | * | | 88 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,547 | * | | 87 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.0 | | 99.3 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 133,892 | * | | 86 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 98.5 | | 98.9 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,911 | * | | 85 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 97.7 | | 98.3 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 298,172 | * | | 84 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 96.7 | | 97.5 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 434,678 | * | | 83 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 95.1 | | 96.3 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 622,963 | * | | 82 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 93.0 | | 94.8 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 879,856 | * | | 81 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 90.2 | | 92.7 | | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,226,105 | * | | 80 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 86.5 | | 89.9 | | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,680,441 | * | | 79 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 81.8 | | 86.3 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,270,435 | * | | 78 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 75.8 | | 81.9 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,019,440 | * | | 77 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 68.7 | | 76.5 | | 69 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,959,891 | * | | 76 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 60.3 | | 70.2 | | 60 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,113,166 | * | | 75 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 51.0 | | 63.3 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,516,656 | * | | 74 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 41.1 | | 55.8 | | 41 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,181,680 | * | | 73 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 31.3 | | 48.5 | | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,131,104 | * | | 72 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 22.1 | | 41.6 | | 22 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,367,257 | * | | 71 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 14.3 | | 35.6 | | 14 | 35 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,887,959 | * | | 70 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 8.3 | | 30.9 | | 8 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,668,346 | * | | 69 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 4.2 | | 27.2 | | 4 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,694,312 | * | | 68 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 1.8 | | 24.0 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,888,033 | * | | 67 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 0.6 | | 20.5 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,202,424 | * | | 66 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.2 | | 16.3 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,569,814 | * | | 65 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 11.2 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 33,851,456 | * | | 64 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 6.4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 36,992,555 | * | | 63 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 2.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 39,879,419 | * | | 62 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 42,386,877 | * | | 61 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 44,438,143 | * | | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 45,953,980 | * | | 59 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 46,864,990 | * | | 58 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 47,148,611 | * | | 57 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 46,781,281 | * | | 56 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 45,768,414 | * | | 55 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 44,144,923 | * | | 54 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 41,984,944 | * | | 53 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 39,376,745 | * | | 52 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | | 36,390,382 | * | | 51 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 | | 33,163,153 | * | | 50 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 13.9 | | 29,798,476 | * | | 49 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 26.4 | | 26,362,930 | * | | 48 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 42.1 | | 22,990,184 | * | | 47 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 58.3 | | 19,752,651 | * | | 46 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 72.5 | | 16,710,125 | * | | 45 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 83.3 | | 13,925,705 | * | | 44 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 90.7 | | 11,428,187 | * | | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 32 | 95.2 | | 9,233,870 | * | | 42 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 97.7 | | 7,344,165 | * | | 41 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 99.0 | | 5,741,258 | * | | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 61 | 99.6 | | 4,418,347 | * | | 39 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 99.8 | | 3,344,794 | * | | 38 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 2,486,773 | * | | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 1,820,911 | * | | 36 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 87 | 100.0 | | 1,308,488 | * | | 35 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 100.0 | | 923,020 | * | | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 638,554 | * | | 33 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | | 434,170 | * | | 32 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 289,271 | * | | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 188,830 | * | | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 120,482 | * | | 29 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 75,792 | * | | 28 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 45,921 | * | | 27 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 27,647 | * | | 26 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 16,390 | * | | 25 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,394 | * | | 24 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,117 | * | | 23 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,757 | * | | 22 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,525 | * | | 3 | -21 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 114,116 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.3 | % | 7.6 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10.7 | % | 996,979,372 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |