How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 -0.9
-1.1
+0.4
-0.3
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 *+0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde-1.8-0.6+2.2
-2.7-0.8+3.3
+2.0+0.2-2.3
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+2.2-0.7-1.9
+3.2-0.9-2.9
-2.1+0.4+2.1
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde-1.7-0.5+2.3
-2.6-0.7+3.4
+1.9+0.2-2.3
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the AFC Fylde finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
99-124YesYes100No116,418*
9830-4-6100.0%100.0%1000No2,820*
9729-6-5YesYes100No4,907*
9629-5-6100.0100.01000No8,192*
9528-7-599.9100.01000No13,919*
9428-6-699.999.91000No22,570*
9328-5-799.999.91000No36,103*
9227-7-699.999.91000No57,240*
9127-6-799.899.81000No87,884*
9027-5-899.799.81000No133,971*
8926-7-799.599.61000No200,878*
8826-6-899.399.59910No295,392*
8726-5-998.999.29910No428,299*
8625-7-898.398.89820No612,620*
8525-6-997.698.298200No862,714*
8424-8-896.597.396400No1,196,177*
8324-7-994.996.295500No1,634,937*
8224-6-1092.794.693700No2,199,343*
8123-8-989.992.49010000No2,922,053*
8023-7-1086.189.68613100No3,819,977*
7923-6-1181.285.98117100No4,927,592*
7822-8-1075.281.47522200No6,272,284*
7722-7-1168.076.068284000No7,864,684*
7622-6-1259.569.7603361000No9,737,809*
7521-8-1150.262.75038101000No11,879,445*
7421-7-1240.355.34041153000No14,297,382*
7320-9-1130.647.931422151000No16,977,549*
7220-8-1221.541.1214028920000No19,883,283*
7120-7-1313.835.21435321540000No22,983,714*
7019-9-128.030.68273422710000No26,212,801*
6919-8-134.026.9419322813410000No29,476,089*
6819-7-141.723.8211263121820000No32,700,155*
6718-9-130.620.31518292715510000No35,802,246*
6618-8-140.216.002102229231031000No38,686,382*
6518-7-150.010.9014142528198200000No41,244,502*
6417-9-140.06.1001617272615610000No43,373,141*
6317-8-150.02.60002819272413410000No45,022,566*
6217-7-160.00.8000031021272211410000No46,090,276*
6116-9-15No0.2000131122272110310000No46,542,332*
6016-8-16No0.000001412232720930000No46,373,209*
5915-10-15No0.000015132427198200000No45,594,593*
5815-9-16No0.000001514252718820000No44,218,780*
5715-8-17No0.0000016152527177200000.0%42,283,225*
5614-10-16NoNo000001616262616610000.039,901,566*
5514-9-17NoNo000027172726155100000.037,119,306*
5414-8-18NoNo000002819272513410000.134,047,465*
5313-10-17NoNo000003102128231130000.530,798,503*
5213-9-18NoNo0000141224292082002.127,473,398*
5113-8-19NoNo000015152728176106.524,152,981*
5012-10-18NoNo000028203026123015.120,929,981*
4912-9-19NoNo00013122531217128.217,864,236*
4812-8-20NoNo00001618312913244.215,041,501*
4711-10-19NoNo0000211263421560.312,463,514*
4611-9-20NoNo000161935301074.210,176,552*
4511-8-21NoNo00031331371684.68,182,409*
4410-10-20NoNo0001726422491.56,479,754*
4310-9-21NoNo000419433495.75,049,453*
4210-8-22NoNo000213414498.03,872,557*
419-10-21NoNo00019375499.12,922,209*
409-9-22NoNo0005316399.62,167,741*
399-8-23NoNo003267199.91,580,580*
388-10-22NoNo002207899.91,133,833*
378-9-23NoNo0011584100.0797,703*
368-8-24NoNo001188100.0553,630*
357-10-23NoNo00891100.0374,951*
347-9-24NoNo00694100.0250,221*
337-8-25NoNo0496Yes163,853*
326-10-24NoNo0397Yes105,101*
316-9-25NoNo0298Yes66,141*
306-8-26NoNo0199Yes40,478*
295-10-25NoNo0199Yes24,351*
285-9-26NoNo0100Yes14,325*
275-8-27NoNo0100Yes8,175*
265-7-28NoNo0100Yes4,477*
254-9-27NoNo0100Yes2,498*
23-24NoNo100Yes2,053*
223-9-28NoNo0100Yes378*
4-21NoNo100Yes113,045*
Total:6.2%12.2%66666665555554444333226.4%996,979,372

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship