San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Beat Phillies 9-4, playoff odds up 0.3 to 1%

63-67 .485

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 4 Rockies 2	+3.1		+0.3
Giants 5 Angels 4	-0.3

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 8 Rockies 6	+3.1		+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

95	32	-	0	In		3	97	0	0	0											176,865
94	31	-	1	In			100														16
93	30	-	2	In		0	97	2		0											259
92	29	-	3	99.9	%		92	7	0	1	0										2,526
91	28	-	4	99.4			87	10	0	2	1										18,138
90	27	-	5	97.6			74	18	0	6	2	0									100,396
89	26	-	6	92.2			56	26	0	10	8	0									453,340
88	25	-	7	80.5			36	30	0	14	19	1	0								1,680,782
87	24	-	8	61.3			18	28	0	15	35	3	0								5,244,407
86	23	-	9	37.8			6	20	0	12	50	12	1	0							13,966,005
85	22	-	10	17.6			1	10	0	6	51	27	4	0							32,096,611
84	21	-	11	5.8			0	3	0	2	39	44	12	0							64,138,918
83	20	-	12	1.2			0	1		1	21	50	27	1	0						112,183,489
82	19	-	13	0.2			0	0		0	8	43	45	4	0						172,546,350
81	18	-	14	0.0			0	0		0	2	29	57	12	0						234,159,586
80	17	-	15	0.0				0		0	0	15	59	25	0	0					280,925,308
79	16	-	16	0.0						0	0	6	50	43	0	0					298,482,371
78	15	-	17	0.0						0	0	2	36	62	1	0	0				280,876,638
77	14	-	18	Out							0	1	21	76	2	0	0				234,167,732
76	13	-	19	Out							0	0	10	82	7	0	0	0			172,558,700
75	12	-	20	Out								0	4	79	17	1	0	0			112,199,276
74	11	-	21	Out								0	1	64	30	4	0	0	0		64,140,714
73	10	-	22	Out								0	0	43	42	13	2	0	0		32,086,910
72	9	-	23	Out									0	22	43	28	7	1	0	0	13,967,588
71	8	-	24	Out									0	8	30	38	20	4	0	0	5,244,192
70	7	-	25	Out										2	13	33	35	14	2	0	1,681,920
69	6	-	26	Out										0	3	18	37	31	10	1	454,371
68	5	-	27	Out										0	0	5	24	40	26	5	100,730
67	4	-	28	Out											0	1	10	33	42	15	18,119
66	3	-	29	Out												0	3	18	46	33	2,516
65	2	-	30	Out														8	38	54	249
64	1	-	31	Out															20	80	10
63	0	-	32	Out													0	0	14	86	176,868

Total:				1.0	%	0	0	1	0	0	4	14	35	41	4	1	0	0	0	0	2,133,851,900

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 4 Rockies 2	-0.7

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 8 Rockies 6	-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95	32	-	0	1	18	45	34	2	0	0
94	31	-	1		6	31	44	19
93	30	-	2		4	22	55	17	2	0
92	29	-	3		0	10	53	30	6	1	0			0
91	28	-	4		0	3	35	40	17	4	0	0	0	1
90	27	-	5		0	0	16	36	30	12	2	0	0	2	0
89	26	-	6		0	0	5	21	32	24	9	1	0	8	0
88	25	-	7			0	1	7	20	28	19	5	0	19	1	0
87	24	-	8			0	0	1	7	17	22	12	2	35	3	0	0	0
86	23	-	9				0	0	1	5	13	14	5	49	12	1	0	0
85	22	-	10				0	0	0	1	3	8	6	47	28	6	1	0	0	0
84	21	-	11					0	0	0	0	2	4	29	40	20	5	1	0	0	0
83	20	-	12						0	0	0	0	1	10	30	34	18	6	1	0	0	0
82	19	-	13							0	0	0	0	2	11	27	31	20	8	2	0	0	0	0
81	18	-	14								0	0	0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	3	0	0	0	0
80	17	-	15									0	0	0	0	1	6	18	29	26	14	4	1	0	0	0
79	16	-	16										0	0	0	0	1	4	14	26	28	18	7	1	0	0	0
78	15	-	17										0		0	0	0	0	3	10	23	30	23	9	2	0	0	0
77	14	-	18													0	0	0	0	2	8	20	31	26	11	2	0	0	0
76	13	-	19														0	0	0	0	1	6	19	33	29	11	2	0	0	0
75	12	-	20																0	0	0	1	6	20	35	29	8	1	0	0	0
74	11	-	21																	0	0	0	1	7	24	38	24	6	1	0	0	0
73	10	-	22																		0	0	0	1	9	29	36	19	4	0	0	0
72	9	-	23																			0	0	0	2	13	32	34	16	3	0	0	0
71	8	-	24																				0	0	0	3	16	33	31	13	2	0	0
70	7	-	25																					0	0	0	4	18	35	30	11	2	0
69	6	-	26																						0	0	1	5	21	37	27	8	1
68	5	-	27																								0	1	7	27	39	23	4
67	4	-	28																									0	1	11	35	40	13
66	3	-	29																										0	3	21	46	29
65	2	-	30																											0	9	40	51
64	1	-	31																													10	90
63	0	-	32																											0	1	15	85

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0