San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Cardinals 5-7, playoff odds down 8.8 to 37.9%
69-61   .531

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 5 Angels 4 +0.9
+0.2
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 5 Angels 0 +1.0
+0.2
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.1
Padres 8 Rockies 6 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10132-0In10900577,440
10031-1In3971,516
9930-2In198018,518
9829-3In099100146,740
9728-4In098200855,097
9627-5100.0%09450003,820,123
9526-6100.00881101013,671,676
9425-799.907819020040,240,359
9324-899.506330061099,323,522
9223-997.80463901320208,337,982
9122-1092.9284302170375,484,005
9021-1182.814400281700586,277,164
8920-1266.76320293220797,865,578
8819-1347.12210254850951,077,159
8718-1428.2011017581300996,253,889
8617-1514.10509592700919,296,470
8516-165.70204504220748,294,020
8415-171.800013656600537,529,613
8314-180.400022621500340,620,268
8213-190.100010563120190,181,147
8112-200.000440488093,350,180
8011-210.001225622040,128,446
7910-220.00085042015,055,149
789-23Out023463004,891,912
778-24Out001981001,366,121
767-25Out089110325,043
756-26Out03952065,139
745-27Out1936010,541
734-28Out0841511,454
723-29Out70282140
712-30Out554511
701-31Out1001
690-32Out11363714200577,397
Total:37.9%07160153821300000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs