San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Cardinals 5-7, playoff odds down 8.8 to 37.9%
69-61   .531

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 5 Angels 4 +0.9
+0.2
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 5 Angels 0 +1.0
+0.2
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.1
Padres 8 Rockies 6 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10132-0In10900577,440
10031-1In3971,516
9930-2In198018,518
9829-3In099100146,740
9728-4In098200855,097
9627-5100.0%09450003,820,123
9526-6100.00881101013,671,676
9425-799.907819020040,240,359
9324-899.506330061099,323,522
9223-997.80463901320208,337,982
9122-1092.9284302170375,484,005
9021-1182.814400281700586,277,164
8920-1266.76320293220797,865,578
8819-1347.12210254850951,077,159
8718-1428.2011017581300996,253,889
8617-1514.10509592700919,296,470
8516-165.70204504220748,294,020
8415-171.800013656600537,529,613
8314-180.400022621500340,620,268
8213-190.100010563120190,181,147
8112-200.000440488093,350,180
8011-210.001225622040,128,446
7910-220.00085042015,055,149
789-23Out023463004,891,912
778-24Out001981001,366,121
767-25Out089110325,043
756-26Out03952065,139
745-27Out1936010,541
734-28Out0841511,454
723-29Out70282140
712-30Out554511
701-31Out1001
690-32Out11363714200577,397
Total:37.9%07160153821300000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 5 Angels 4 -0.5
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 5 Angels 0 -0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10132-08652430
10031-13523870
9930-2132471910
9829-3017463430
9728-40735471000
9627-5022153221000
9526-60110463860000
9425-70330481720000
9324-801144431810010
9223-900428392150020
9122-100011131331520700
9021-110003153026801700
8920-12000417281613210
8819-1300151820349400
8718-14000171656012000
8617-1500018559252000
8516-1600023474070000
8415-170000128472030000
8314-1800001137351320000
8213-1900031835291230000
8112-200004183228133000
8011-2100041730291541000
7910-2200004142831185100
789-230003112633206100
778-240002102635215100
767-2500192736215100
756-260019283520500
745-27021029361940
734-2821230371720
723-29494135101
712-30964189
701-31100
690-3200111343715200
Total:000135810923616521000000000000000