"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Cubs 0-2, playoff odds down 3.4 to 83.8%
72-57   .558

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 6 Diamondbacks 4 +1.9
+0.2
Padres 4 Rockies 2 -0.3
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 1 Diamondbacks 0 +1.7
+0.1
Padres 8 Rockies 6 -0.2
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.2
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.2
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10533-0In6238577,424
10432-1In4654592
10331-2In33677,494
10230-3In2080064,840
10129-4In11890400,282
10028-5In59501,893,326
9927-6In29807,228,435
9826-7In19910022,717,575
9725-8In09820059,984,307
9624-9100.0%0955000135,013,278
9523-10100.008911000261,825,113
9422-11100.008020000441,002,371
9321-1299.9068320100649,444,993
9220-1399.6053450200840,267,958
9119-1498.337560520958,577,738
9018-1594.32262010600966,779,694
8917-1685.211600141410863,418,041
8816-1769.84500152730683,501,060
8715-1849.813601341900479,544,304
8614-1929.702108492100297,956,393
8513-2014.001004463820163,682,915
8412-214.9031345380079,304,270
8311-221.10102058211033,765,230
8210-230.100848394012,570,388
819-240.000329541404,068,390
808-250.000113533301,136,077
797-26Out0439570269,972
786-27Out012277053,900
775-28Out0109008,742
764-29Out049611,211
753-30Out1972100
742-31Out10010
720-33Out0742420577,397
Total:83.8%0344207124000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 6 Diamondbacks 4 -0.3
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 1 Diamondbacks 0 -0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10533-0623800
10432-144551
10331-2316450
10230-31870120
10129-49682310
10028-535636500
9927-6138471310
9826-70224926300
9725-80941419000
9624-9032649212000
9523-100112443670000
9422-1100428461930000
9321-120011342331010000
9220-1300426402350000
9119-14001113235163020
9018-15000317353090600
8917-16000522352121400
8816-1700182630528200
8715-18000212279428000
8614-190003151150201000
8513-2000058443660000
8412-21000142744204000
8311-220001113534153000
8210-23002153231154100
819-240003153030165100
808-250003132731196100
797-26002102532227100
786-270028233424710
775-28018243723710
764-2901829352161
753-3011321352721
742-311020401020
720-33004183732810
Total:002714171715102123100000000000000