Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Athletics 4-7, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.4%
63-67   .485

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 6 Diamondbacks 4 -2.1
-0.2
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.3
Padres 4 Rockies 2 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 1 Diamondbacks 0 -1.8
-0.2
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.2
Padres 8 Rockies 6 -0.2
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.2
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 +0.2
Giants 5 Angels 0 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9532-0In0891100577,399
9431-1In2841463
9330-2In683100896
9229-399.8%52440408,729
9128-498.735540101063,964
9027-594.21956019600363,061
8926-682.184802717101,643,772
8825-760.023102633706,150,502
8724-833.601501844203019,261,361
8623-913.60508393710051,275,798
8522-103.8010325472500117,407,413
8421-110.7000111434500232,804,975
8320-120.10004316410402,630,837
8219-130.0001187750609,949,939
8118-140.0000980120812,136,889
8017-150.0000373230952,664,558
7916-160.0001603900985,887,365
7815-17Out00445600900,346,496
7714-18Out00287200725,327,894
7613-19Out00158400514,810,409
7512-20Out00792100321,131,191
7411-21Out0395300175,460,177
7310-22Out019270083,569,274
729-23Out008415100034,493,617
718-24Out06828400012,239,902
707-25Out04740121003,693,474
696-26Out2442267100934,902
685-27Out9303819400194,319
674-28Out2133335152032,490
663-29Out031637321014,295
652-30Out042641235444
641-31Out28611118
630-32Out002174636577,397
Total:0.4%000002850400000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 6 Diamondbacks 4 +0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 1 Diamondbacks 0 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9532-01115033500
9431-163543142
9330-2118492840
9229-306374114200
9128-40118412981010
9027-500525372250600
8926-601926311401610
8825-7002102422233700
8724-80002101844420300
8623-9000284393611000
8522-100000222443272000
8421-11000193444111000
8320-120000217452871000
8219-130000528392151000
8118-1400011031351851000
8017-1500021330331851000
7916-16000021329321851000
7815-1700031229331850000
7714-180002122934184100
7613-190002123033174000
7512-2000002143132164000
7411-210003163231152000
7310-22000518353111100
729-230016234027300
718-2400019324313100
707-250021645297100
696-260005294021500
685-270011132361730
674-28031534341320
663-290418373191
652-3052540245
641-31395011
630-3202174338
Total:00000000014911131313111074210000000