Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Lost to Padres 4-9, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.002%
52-79   .397

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -1.9
-0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +1.7
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8331-020.5%019220491010176,865
8230-14.5595032522
8129-21.82023745131498
8028-30.40021452844,518
7927-40.1008344414031,748
7826-50.00021948300170,428
7725-60.00008415010737,844
7624-70.000227674002,620,264
7523-8Out01147590007,856,069
7422-9Out006722010020,060,428
7321-10Out0025934600044,115,559
7220-11Out00038441520084,187,072
7119-12Out00194229810140,232,291
7018-13Out0729382150204,874,870
6917-14Out02133335152263,379,812
6816-15Out0031838329298,513,433
6715-16Out017274323298,473,341
6614-17Out0002134145263,391,977
6513-18Out00042966204,875,439
6412-19Out0011683140,223,460
6311-20Out00089284,158,358
6210-21Out0039744,114,771
619-22Out0019920,055,339
608-23Out001007,857,769
597-24Out001002,621,289
586-25Out0100734,991
575-26Out0100170,056
564-27Out010031,511
553-28Out01004,475
52-54Out100177,403*
Total:0.0%0000000610141822292,133,851,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 +0.6
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 -0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8331-00031793125113000
8230-15923232795
8129-22031229291781
8028-30021022282210310
7927-400017172726156100
7826-500014122428209200
7725-6000028202925123000
7624-7000015162929154100
7523-800014153031164000
7422-900003153232143000
7321-100000417353012200
7220-110000052236279100
7119-1200018263623610
7018-1300021129351940
6917-140002143234152
6816-15000041837339
6715-1600016264424
6614-170001124146
6513-1800042868
6412-190011584
6311-20000793
6210-2100298
619-2200199
608-2300100
597-240100
586-250100
575-260100
564-270100
553-280100
52-54100
Total:0000000000000000135913172230