Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Marlins 7-4, playoff odds up 1.2 to 13.5%
66-63   .512

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 0 Nationals 1 +2.4
+0.3
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 *+0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 0 Nationals 1 +2.8
+0.3
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.4
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9933-0In13870577,439
9832-1In6931893
9731-2In19710012,343
9630-3In096300104,248
9529-4100.0%0927010630,061
9428-599.90831403002,928,967
9327-699.306822081010,868,446
9226-797.0049310163033,090,307
9125-890.7029360259084,290,525
9024-978.013340302020182,157,620
8923-1059.05260283560337,741,396
8822-1137.811602046160541,802,695
8721-1220.008012473200756,796,971
8620-138.70405395200925,423,105
8519-143.00102276910994,346,504
8418-150.900001580400941,210,043
8317-160.20007821100786,452,158
8216-170.0003752110580,568,545
8115-180.0001623520378,773,043
8014-190.0000444870218,215,908
7913-200.000027561700110,878,487
7812-210.0001455310049,536,633
7711-220.000645490019,417,846
7610-230.00023166106,638,856
759-240.0001978301,967,301
748-25Out0982800503,275
737-26Out04762010109,263
726-27Out0157375020,189
715-28Out0344915102,947
704-29Out114436720376
693-30Out320275030
682-31Out33673
660-33Out0214383511577,397
Total:13.5%016062353910000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs