Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Marlins 7-4, playoff odds up 1.2 to 13.5%
66-63   .512

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 0 Nationals 1 +2.4
+0.3
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 *+0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 0 Nationals 1 +2.8
+0.3
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.4
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9933-0In13870577,439
9832-1In6931893
9731-2In19710012,343
9630-3In096300104,248
9529-4100.0%0927010630,061
9428-599.90831403002,928,967
9327-699.306822081010,868,446
9226-797.0049310163033,090,307
9125-890.7029360259084,290,525
9024-978.013340302020182,157,620
8923-1059.05260283560337,741,396
8822-1137.811602046160541,802,695
8721-1220.008012473200756,796,971
8620-138.70405395200925,423,105
8519-143.00102276910994,346,504
8418-150.900001580400941,210,043
8317-160.20007821100786,452,158
8216-170.0003752110580,568,545
8115-180.0001623520378,773,043
8014-190.0000444870218,215,908
7913-200.000027561700110,878,487
7812-210.0001455310049,536,633
7711-220.000645490019,417,846
7610-230.00023166106,638,856
759-240.0001978301,967,301
748-25Out0982800503,275
737-26Out04762010109,263
726-27Out0157375020,189
715-28Out0344915102,947
704-29Out114436720376
693-30Out320275030
682-31Out33673
660-33Out0214383511577,397
Total:13.5%016062353910000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 0 Nationals 1 -0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 0 Nationals 1 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9933-0741411010
9832-122448233
9731-2010413990
9630-303274721100
9529-4011343376000
9428-500429481620000
9327-601134431910010
9226-700427382260030
9125-8001102932163090
9024-9002132826902020
8923-10000314251613380
8822-11000414182422000
8721-12000151234139000
8620-1300015331582000
8519-14000012196991000
8418-15000018642340000
8317-16000343371420000
8216-1700002038291120000
8115-18000052334251020000
8014-1900172232241120000
7913-20000172031261230000
7812-2100016183028143000
7711-2200014162929164100
7610-2300003142931175100
759-2400003132832185100
748-25000313283318400
737-260031331341630
726-270031534341310
715-2804183732810
704-291219373192
693-3032337307
682-316733
660-330110344015
Total:000001245118391474211000000000000