Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Lost to Yankees 6-20, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.007%
54-76   .415

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 4 Reds 8 -2.8
-0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 5 Reds 0 +2.7
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8632-075.6%86341870176,865
8531-153.8468311513
8430-237.636225343242
8329-317.9017015541212,497
8228-47.0070752285018,168
8127-52.02023742161100,693
8026-60.400019433160453,383
7925-70.100732451601,681,238
7824-80.0002174932005,242,042
7723-90.0000740511013,964,226
7622-100.0002276830032,102,999
7521-11Out001476900064,155,028
7420-12Out0067419100112,199,524
7319-13Out00262324000172,563,155
7218-14Out00434412100234,136,833
7117-15Out00244625500280,895,769
7016-16Out0935371630298,479,823
6915-17Out02183731111280,939,857
6814-18Out0062338266234,144,115
6713-19Out0019304119172,533,761
6612-20Out002154240112,184,126
6511-21Out0005316364,148,941
6410-22Out0001188132,090,851
639-23Out00089213,964,501
628-24Out003975,244,002
617-25Out01991,678,210
606-26Out0100452,465
595-27Out0100100,677
584-28Out010018,181
54-57Out100179,715*
Total:0.0%0000002222318151282,133,851,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 4 Reds 8 +0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 5 Reds 0 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8632-00029243012168000
8531-123311531
8430-22122417301131
8329-33156282715510
8228-4071102429198200
8127-502018202823134100
8026-6000151425271882000
7925-7000029212823124100
7824-8000016162727165100
7723-9000013132630197100
7622-10000002112633216100
7521-110002112835194000
7420-1200002133335142000
7319-1300031838309100
7218-14000062639236100
7117-15000111313617400
7016-1600031634321320
6915-170005203529101
6814-1800172337266
6713-1900019294119
6612-200002144241
6511-21000053065
6410-220011683
639-23000793
628-2400298
617-250199
606-260100
595-270100
584-280100
54-57100
Total:000000000000000001251015161514119