Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Yankees 6-20, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.003%
54-76   .415

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 4 Reds 8 -2.7
-0.3
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.2
Mets 0 Nationals 1 +0.2
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 *+0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 5 Reds 0 +1.7
+0.2
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.3
Mets 0 Nationals 1 +0.2
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8632-040.2%1373253510577,397
8329-3Out25754
8228-41.011484371105
8127-50.1002749222804
8026-60.00010434076,260
7925-70.0003285117037,032
7824-8Out011451330186,975
7723-9Out0642520806,618
7622-10Out02296902,985,622
7521-11Out001782109,588,706
7420-12Out009902026,870,676
7319-13Out0049240065,958,416
7218-14Out018910000142,233,314
7117-15Out0079191000270,175,149
7016-16Out0063334000452,425,434
6915-17Out0424413100668,212,263
6814-18Out0214527610869,844,595
6713-19Out0831391940996,552,374
6612-20Out021435341321,002,435,311
6511-21Out0042038308882,208,528
6410-22Out017274323675,968,213
639-23Out001124145448,144,087
628-24Out00042868254,969,906
617-25Out0011584123,148,816
606-26Out0069449,783,207
595-27Out0029816,522,409
584-28Out01994,386,363
573-29Out0100893,212
562-30Out0100131,609
551-31Out010012,456
540-32Out0100577,959
Total:0.0%00000001820191714116,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 4 Reds 8 +0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 5 Reds 0 -0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8632-0000424122236100
8329-35050
8228-4113303216611
8127-5019263023910
8026-600182130251130
7925-70001617292815400
7824-80014142830174100
7723-90003122833185100
7622-10000212293319510
7521-11000212303318400
7420-12000214323316300
7319-13000317363311000
7218-1400005234227200
7117-1500011036458000
7016-1600032153213000
6915-170008453610100
6814-180002264224600
6713-190001032361830
6612-20002153433142
6511-2100041937319
6410-220016254325
639-23001103950
628-2400032473
617-250011288
606-2600496
595-270199
584-2800100
573-290100
562-300100
551-310100
540-32100
Total:00000000000000000025151817161412