Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Brewers 1-4, playoff odds down 0.001 to 0.001%
52-76   .406

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 4 Reds 8 +2.8
+0.3
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.5
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 +0.2
Padres 4 Rockies 2 -0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 5 Reds 0 -2.5
-0.2
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.4
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.4
Padres 8 Rockies 6 -0.2
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8533-013.3%0133937110577,397
8230-3Out2957147
8129-4Out96029255
8028-5Out0537517449
7927-6Out12456193,496
7826-7Out0125335021,228
7725-8Out0542530109,086
7624-9Out0229690485,046
7523-10Out001782001,848,856
7422-11Out00990106,133,082
7321-12Out049240017,756,166
7220-13Out0189900045,212,853
7119-14Out0079192000101,471,622
7018-15Out0061336000201,315,622
6917-16Out0394316200353,523,424
6816-17Out0184130910549,951,029
6715-18Out0627392350757,907,695
6614-19Out01113237172924,247,981
6513-20Out0031739348995,792,819
6412-21Out005264721945,408,130
6311-22Out001124542787,984,617
6210-23Out00043363573,674,159
619-24Out0011980362,560,347
608-25Out00990197,232,475
597-26Out0049691,366,755
586-27Out0019935,522,254
575-28Out0010011,375,650
564-29Out001002,915,791
553-30Out0100577,670
542-31Out010082,604
52-53Out100585,455*
Total:0.0%000000812151923236,965,643,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 4 Reds 8 -0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8533-00016645329100
8230-3291457
8129-41127242594
8028-50172128281320
7927-600161730281441
7826-701415283117400
7725-8003132932185100
7624-900312293318510
7523-10000313303217400
7422-11000315323215300
7321-12000418353111000
7220-1300162341272000
7119-14000110344410100
7018-1500021950244000
6917-160007383914200
6816-170001194130810
6715-18000627392350
6614-19001103238171
6513-2000021640357
6412-210005264920
6311-22001124840
6210-2300043561
619-240012178
608-250001089
597-2600496
586-270298
575-280199
564-2900100
553-300100
542-310100
52-53100
Total:000000000000000001261115192422