Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2015-3

Lost to Rockies 0-5, playoff odds down 0.04 to 99.9%
79-50   .612

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 -2.7
-0.2
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.6
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.3
Padres 4 Rockies 2 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 -2.6
-0.2
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.5
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.5
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.2
Padres 8 Rockies 6 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-112In100586,022*
10930-3In100067,164
10829-4In1000416,107
10728-5In9821,990,347
10627-6In9557,627,950
10526-7In8601424,020,882
10425-8In7302763,446,833
10324-9In56044142,509,919
10223-10In380620275,210,881
10122-11In220780460,862,833
10021-12In1200880673,296,735
9920-13In500950862,544,551
9819-14In200980972,657,828
9718-15In100990967,759,552
9617-16100.0%0009910851,252,143
9516-17100.00009730662,484,999
9415-18100.00009370456,175,755
9314-19100.0000861400277,734,589
9213-2099.8000732700149,266,999
9112-2198.600056431070,649,287
9011-2294.40037586029,343,074
8910-2384.32064151010,643,493
889-2467.285930303,352,436
878-2546.23444590908,599
867-2627.112653200209,510
856-2713.201349361040,479
845-284.853853406,545
834-291.62286290826
823-303.9412632176
812-31Out4433229
790-330.0012855160577,397
Total:99.9%700903000006,965,643,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs