Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Dodgers 2-0, playoff odds up 11.2 to 70%
72-55   .567

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 -3.6
-0.3
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.2
Padres 4 Rockies 2 -0.2
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 +0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 -3.0
-0.3
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.3
Padres 8 Rockies 6 -0.2
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.2
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10533-0In982577,397
10432-1In841644
10331-2In8119669
10230-3In650357,034
10129-4In46054052,321
10028-5In270721300,471
9927-6In1308151,384,559
9826-7In50080155,251,876
9725-8100.0%1006930016,680,360
9624-9100.00005248045,114,141
9523-10100.000034660104,835,749
9422-11100.0000208000211,228,167
9321-1299.9000109000371,148,163
9220-1399.300049510571,762,753
9119-1497.300019630775,022,383
9018-1592.00092800926,856,289
8917-1681.30811810979,611,256
8816-1764.90653230915,744,430
8715-1845.404546800757,285,763
8614-1927.1027531900553,538,824
8513-2013.4013513510357,091,364
8412-215.3053951400202,789,067
8311-221.6225621100101,016,488
8210-230.301362241043,917,810
819-240.00551404016,569,433
808-250.00234531105,373,207
797-260.00018582401,483,961
786-27Out0752400344,947
775-28Out0239581066,190
764-29Out12473210,013
753-30Out1380601,183
742-31Out87913105
731-32Out1006
720-33Out15143500577,397
Total:70.0%0003672281000006,965,643,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10533-09910
10432-186112
10331-277230
10230-357403
10129-4365590
10028-518612110
9927-675337300
9826-7237501110
9725-8019512540000
9624-9083939131000
9523-100222432850000
9422-1100832421520000
9321-12002164230910000
9220-1300528382250010
9119-14001133133163030
9018-150004173229100800
8917-16001620332111800
8816-17000172329433200
8715-18000210267486000
8614-190000315956161000
8513-200000675032400000
8412-210001433441520000
8311-2200011539311120000
8210-230004213527112000
819-240006203227123000
808-2500015183028143000
797-2600014152930164000
786-270003132932185100
775-2800211283319510
764-290210273420610
753-30021027332071
742-3131029302341
731-326733
720-3300211303818200
Total:001381214151332261100000000000000