St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Giants 7-5, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%
83-45   .648

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 +1.5
+0.1
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 +1.3
+0.1
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.2
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.1
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-115In10075,431,613*
10926-6In1000134,372,915
10825-7In1000279,712,911
10724-8In1000488,318,909
10623-9In1000725,263,843
10522-10In1000926,174,119
10421-11In99011,025,446,249
10320-12In98020990,473,740
10219-13In94060838,414,847
10118-14In8600140624,313,297
10017-15In7400260409,853,837
9916-16In5900410237,626,203
9815-17In4200580121,704,130
9714-18In260073055,055,725
9613-19100.0%1410841021,964,630
9512-20100.061089407,724,172
9411-21100.0210861102,386,048
9310-22100.010077220641,999
929-2399.700063360150,581
918-2498.400046522030,471
907-2594.303164605,295
896-2681.41764181781
885-2761.5952281096
874-2841.78335812
830-320.51137790577,397
Total:100.0%93007000006,965,643,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs