"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2015-3

Beat Giants 7-5, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%
83-45   .648

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 +1.5
+0.1
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Marlins 7 Phillies 0 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 +1.3
+0.1
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +0.2
Marlins 2 Phillies 6 +0.1
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-115In10075,431,613*
10926-6In1000134,372,915
10825-7In1000279,712,911
10724-8In1000488,318,909
10623-9In1000725,263,843
10522-10In1000926,174,119
10421-11In99011,025,446,249
10320-12In98020990,473,740
10219-13In94060838,414,847
10118-14In8600140624,313,297
10017-15In7400260409,853,837
9916-16In5900410237,626,203
9815-17In4200580121,704,130
9714-18In260073055,055,725
9613-19100.0%1410841021,964,630
9512-20100.061089407,724,172
9411-21100.0210861102,386,048
9310-22100.010077220641,999
929-2399.700063360150,581
918-2498.400046522030,471
907-2594.303164605,295
896-2681.41764181781
885-2761.5952281096
874-2841.78335812
830-320.51137790577,397
Total:100.0%93007000006,965,643,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 2 Pirates 1 -0.3
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 3 Pirates 2 -0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112-115100
11128-41000
11027-51000
10926-61000
10825-71000
10724-810000
10623-910000
10522-1099100
10421-1197300
10320-1293700
10219-138415100
10118-147027300
10017-155240900
9916-16324720100
9815-17164535400
9714-186344911000
9613-1921953242000
9512-2008453971000
9411-210227471930000
9310-2200123933122000
929-230322362710200
918-240182433248102
907-2502102431216060
896-2602102331151181
885-2727252342810
874-281725508
830-320016403913200
Total:8611300000000000000