Milwaukee Brewers Playoff Chances 2015-3 50/50

Beat Reds 4-1, playoff odds unchanged at 0.005%
55-75   .423

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 +1.0
+0.2
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 +1.2
+0.3
Braves 5 Reds 0 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8732-060.4%1593450176,865
8631-135.736432114
8530-217.81847314253
8429-37.3733471302,440
8328-41.821749303018,146
8227-50.207384590101,088
8126-60.00223522210452,858
8025-70.000104638501,678,278
7924-8Out0431511505,242,007
7823-9Out011653300013,962,668
7722-10Out00744490032,080,232
7621-11Out002306720064,135,782
7520-12Out001678500112,192,132
7419-13Out0077913100172,568,747
7318-14Out00269253000234,142,437
7217-15Out00151389100280,931,915
7116-16Out00294422500298,468,218
7015-17Out01236351420280,953,044
6914-18Out03203729101234,124,221
6813-19Out0172538255172,539,026
6712-20Out0110324115112,206,578
6611-21Out00317453464,149,814
6510-22Out0006365732,094,406
649-23Out002227613,960,680
638-24Out0011885,240,298
627-25Out05951,678,531
616-26Out0298452,007
605-27Out0199101,324
594-28Out010018,310
583-29Out01002,451
56-57Out100265*
550-32Out0100176,865
Total:0.0%00000434231611842,133,851,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 1 Brewers 6 -0.5
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 3 Brewers 5 -0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8732-00016172212234600
8631-1771474321
8530-23105403561
8429-30025224024610
8328-400162635228200
8227-50018233123113000
8126-6000161929261451000
8025-7000141526281872000
7924-8000310222922103000
7823-900027192826144100
7722-10000015152729175100
7621-1100003132731195100
7520-1200003122933184000
7419-1300003143335142000
7318-140000418383091000
7217-15000162639225100
7116-16000111323517300
7015-1700031634321320
6914-180005203629101
6813-1900172438255
6712-20000110314116
6611-210003174536
6510-2200063658
649-2300022276
638-24001189
627-2500595
616-260298
605-27199
594-280100
583-290100
56-57100
550-320100
Total:000000000000000011248131716141184